Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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169
UXUS97 KGJT 251306
SRGGJT

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Grand Junction, Colorado
606 AM MST Tuesday, November 25, 2025

This forecast is for Tuesday, November 25, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 48.6 F/9.2 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 319 ft/min (1.6 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 10051 ft MSL (4444 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 50.0 F/10.5 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1300 MST
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 8028 ft MSL (2420 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 11/26.... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:08:49 / 16:53:43 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 44 min 54 sec (584 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:01:16 MST... 29.98 degrees

Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 11/25/2025 at 0500 MST

Freezing level.................. 5672 ft MSL (65 ft AGL)
Additional freezing level....... 7859 ft MSL (2252 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19631 ft MSL (14024 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13762 ft MSL (8154 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +13.0
K index......................... +2.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -64.2 -83.6   295   45   23  -1.3  -0.7      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -66.1 -87.0   295   59   30  -0.9  -0.5      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -66.7 -88.1   310   85   44  -0.5  -0.3      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -63.7 -82.7   315   91   47   8.8   4.8      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -57.8 -72.0   320   93   48   8.8   4.8      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -52.4 -62.3   320   95   49   9.4   5.2      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -46.7 -52.1   320   94   49   9.4   5.2      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -41.2 -42.2   320   90   46   8.8   4.8   34.2  93.5    18.2      M    M
 29000  -38.6 -37.5   320   85   44   8.8   4.8   33.7  92.7    18.1      M    M
 28000  -36.0 -32.8   315   80   41   8.8   4.8   33.4  92.2    18.1      M    M
 27000  -33.4 -28.1   315   75   39   8.2   4.5   33.1  91.5    18.0      M    M
 26000  -30.9 -23.6   315   70   36   8.3   4.6   32.4  90.3    17.7      M    M
 25000  -28.4 -19.1   310   66   34   8.3   4.6   31.9  89.4    17.5      M    M
 24000  -26.0 -14.8   305   62   32   7.3   4.0   31.4  88.5    17.3      M    M
 23000  -23.9 -11.0   305   60   31   7.2   3.9   30.3  86.6    16.6      M    M
 22000  -21.8  -7.2   300   59   30   7.2   4.0   29.4  85.0    16.0      M    M
 21000  -19.7  -3.5   300   57   29   6.0   3.3   28.5  83.2    15.4      M    M
 20000  -17.5   0.5   300   53   27   6.2   3.4   26.8  80.3    14.1      M    M
 19500  -16.6   2.1   300   51   26   6.2   3.4   26.2  79.2    13.6      M    M
 19000  -15.7   3.7   300   49   25   6.0   3.3   25.6  78.2    13.2      M    M
 18500  -14.9   5.2   300   47   24   5.1   2.8   24.9  76.8    12.6      M    M
 18000  -14.2   6.4   300   45   23   5.2   2.9   24.1  75.4    11.9      M    M
 17500  -13.4   7.9   300   43   22   4.5   2.5   23.3  73.9    11.3      M    M
 17000  -12.8   9.0   300   41   21   4.5   2.4   22.4  72.2    10.5      M    M
 16500  -12.1  10.2   295   38   20   4.4   2.4   21.5  70.7     9.8      M    M
 16000  -11.5  11.3   295   37   19   4.3   2.4   20.5  69.0     9.0      M    M
 15500  -10.8  12.6   295   35   18   4.4   2.4   19.6  67.4     8.3      M    M
 15000  -10.0  14.0   295   33   17   5.7   3.1   18.9  66.0     7.6      M    M
 14500   -9.2  15.4   290   32   16   5.7   3.1   18.2  64.7     7.1      M    M
 14000   -8.3  17.1   290   30   15   5.0   2.7   17.5  63.4     6.5      M    M
 13500   -7.5  18.5   290   28   14   5.2   2.8   16.7  62.1     5.9      M    M
 13000   -6.8  19.8   290   26   13   4.2   2.3   15.9  60.6     5.2      M    M
 12500   -6.1  21.0   290   24   12   4.2   2.3   15.0  59.0     4.4      M    M
 12000   -5.5  22.1   285   22   11   4.0   2.2   14.1  57.3     3.6      M    M
 11500   -4.9  23.2   280   20   10   4.0   2.2   13.2  55.7     2.8      M    M
 11000   -4.3  24.3   280   18    9   3.7   2.0   12.2  54.0     1.9      M    M
 10500   -3.8  25.2   275   16    8   3.8   2.1   11.2  52.2     1.0      M    M
 10250   -3.5  25.7   270   15    8   2.9   1.6   10.8  51.4     0.5      M    M
 10000   -3.3  26.1   270   14    7   3.5   1.9   10.2  50.4    -0.0    319  1.6
  9750   -3.0  26.6   265   13    7   5.0   2.7    9.8  49.6    -0.4    301  1.5
  9500   -2.7  27.1   265   12    6   4.5   2.5    9.4  48.9    -0.8    284  1.4
  9250   -2.3  27.9   260   12    6   4.7   2.6    9.0  48.2    -1.2    266  1.4
  9000   -2.0  28.4   260   11    6   5.6   3.1    8.6  47.6    -1.6    248  1.3
  8750   -1.5  29.3   255   10    5   6.3   3.5    8.4  47.0    -1.9    228  1.2
  8500   -1.1  30.0   250    8    4   5.7   3.1    8.1  46.5    -2.2    207  1.1
  8250   -0.7  30.7   245    7    4   4.7   2.6    7.7  45.9    -2.6    188  1.0
  8000   -0.4  31.3   235    6    3   5.4   3.0    7.3  45.2    -3.0    171  0.9
  7750    0.1  32.2   230    5    3   6.4   3.5    7.1  44.7    -3.2    150  0.8
  7500    0.5  32.9   215    4    2   5.5   3.0    6.8  44.2    -3.5    129  0.7
  7250    0.9  33.6   200    5    2   4.8   2.7    6.4  43.6    -3.9    111  0.6
  7000    1.2  34.2   185    5    3   5.6   3.1    6.1  42.9    -4.3     93  0.5
  6750    1.6  34.9   180    5    2   4.3   2.3    5.7  42.3    -4.6     73  0.4
  6500    1.8  35.2   170    5    2   1.7   0.9    5.2  41.4    -5.2     60  0.3
  6250    1.9  35.4   160    5    3   1.6   0.9    4.6  40.2    -5.8     49  0.3
  6000    2.1  35.8   155    5    3   0.9   0.5    4.0  39.1    -6.4     39  0.2
  5750    1.8  35.2   145    5    2 -11.7  -6.4    2.9  37.3    -7.5     40  0.2
  5500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  5250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  5000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           11/25/2025 at 0800 MST          |       11/25/2025 at 1100 MST
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +7.2        | CAPE...    +0.3    LI...       +8.7
CINH...    -0.0    K Index...  +2.8        | CINH...    -0.2    K Index...  +0.5
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -60.8 -77.4  280  47 24   0.5   0.3 | -61.0 -77.8  285  45 23  -0.1  -0.1
 45000 -60.0 -76.0  290  51 26   0.4   0.2 | -61.2 -78.2  285  48 25  -0.1  -0.1
 40000 -59.7 -75.5  315  58 30   0.2   0.1 | -61.8 -79.2  320  59 30  -0.5  -0.2
 38000 -59.2 -74.6  320  61 31   1.6   0.9 | -60.8 -77.4  325  64 33   4.5   2.4
 36000 -58.3 -72.9  325  61 31   1.5   0.8 | -58.1 -72.6  335  67 35   4.4   2.4
 34000 -56.3 -69.3  325  60 31   9.0   4.9 | -54.7 -66.5  340  69 36   7.7   4.2
 32000 -51.0 -59.8  320  57 30   8.9   4.9 | -50.0 -58.0  330  60 31   7.8   4.3
 30000 -45.6 -50.1  310  56 29   9.4   5.1 | -45.2 -49.4  320  54 28   8.9   4.9
 29000 -42.8 -45.0  310  58 30   9.4   5.2 | -42.5 -44.5  315  52 27   8.9   4.9
 28000 -40.0 -40.0  310  59 30   9.4   5.2 | -39.8 -39.6  315  52 27   8.9   4.9
 27000 -37.2 -35.0  310  60 31   8.6   4.7 | -37.2 -35.0  310  51 26   8.8   4.8
 26000 -34.9 -30.8  310  58 30   7.7   4.2 | -34.5 -30.1  310  52 27   8.8   4.8
 25000 -32.5 -26.5  310  56 29   7.7   4.2 | -31.9 -25.4  310  53 27   8.8   4.8
 24000 -30.2 -22.4  310  53 28   7.8   4.3 | -29.3 -20.7  310  54 28   8.4   4.6
 23000 -27.8 -18.0  310  52 27   8.1   4.5 | -27.0 -16.6  310  52 27   7.7   4.2
 22000 -25.4 -13.7  305  50 26   8.1   4.5 | -24.7 -12.5  310  51 26   7.7   4.2
 21000 -22.6  -8.7  305  49 25   5.4   3.0 | -21.9  -7.4  310  48 25   6.7   3.7
 20000 -20.9  -5.6  305  47 24   5.7   3.1 | -19.9  -3.8  310  46 23   6.8   3.7
 19500 -20.1  -4.2  305  46 24   5.7   3.1 | -18.9  -2.0  310  44 23   6.8   3.7
 19000 -19.2  -2.6  305  45 23   5.8   3.2 | -17.9  -0.2  310  43 22   7.0   3.9
 18500 -18.4  -1.1  310  44 23   4.4   2.4 | -17.1   1.2  310  41 21   4.2   2.3
 18000 -17.8  -0.0  310  43 22   4.3   2.4 | -16.4   2.5  310  40 20   4.3   2.3
 17500 -17.1   1.2  310  42 22   4.5   2.5 | -15.8   3.6  310  38 20   4.1   2.3
 17000 -16.4   2.5  310  41 21   4.9   2.7 | -15.2   4.6  310  36 19   4.0   2.2
 16500 -15.7   3.7  310  39 20   4.9   2.7 | -14.6   5.7  310  35 18   4.0   2.2
 16000 -15.0   5.0  310  38 19   5.0   2.7 | -14.0   6.8  310  33 17   4.4   2.4
 15500 -14.2   6.4  310  36 18   5.0   2.7 | -13.4   7.9  310  31 16   4.3   2.4
 15000 -13.5   7.7  310  34 17   5.1   2.8 | -12.7   9.1  310  29 15   4.8   2.7
 14500 -12.7   9.1  305  32 16   5.1   2.8 | -12.0  10.4  310  28 14   4.9   2.7
 14000 -12.0  10.4  305  30 15   4.9   2.7 | -11.2  11.8  310  26 13   4.9   2.7
 13500 -11.3  11.7  305  28 14   4.8   2.7 | -10.5  13.1  305  24 12   5.0   2.7
 13000 -10.6  12.9  300  26 13   4.9   2.7 |  -9.7  14.5  305  23 12   5.0   2.7
 12500  -9.9  14.2  300  24 12   4.9   2.7 |  -9.0  15.8  305  21 11   5.0   2.7
 12000  -9.1  15.6  300  22 11   5.5   3.0 |  -8.3  17.1  300  19 10   4.9   2.7
 11500  -8.3  17.1  295  20 10   5.8   3.2 |  -7.5  18.5  295  17  9   5.0   2.7
 11000  -7.5  18.5  295  18  9   6.5   3.6 |  -6.8  19.8  295  15  8   5.2   2.9
 10500  -6.5  20.3  295  15  8   7.1   3.9 |  -6.1  21.0  290  13  7   5.6   3.1
 10250  -6.0  21.2  300  14  7   5.5   3.0 |  -5.7  21.7  290  12  6   4.8   2.6
 10000  -5.7  21.7  300  12  6   5.0   2.7 |  -5.4  22.3  290  11  6   5.0   2.8
  9750  -5.2  22.6  300  11  6   7.8   4.3 |  -4.9  23.2  285  10  5   6.7   3.7
  9500  -4.6  23.7  305  10  5   8.8   4.8 |  -4.4  24.1  285   8  4   7.1   3.9
  9250  -4.0  24.8  310   9  5   8.0   4.4 |  -3.9  25.0  285   7  4   6.8   3.7
  9000  -3.4  25.9  315   8  4   7.4   4.1 |  -3.5  25.7  280   6  3   6.7   3.7
  8750  -2.9  26.8  320   7  4   7.8   4.3 |  -3.0  26.6  280   4  2   7.6   4.2
  8500  -2.3  27.9  325   7  3   8.1   4.5 |  -2.4  27.7  280   4  2   8.1   4.5
  8250  -1.7  28.9  330   6  3   7.7   4.2 |  -1.3  29.7  285   2  1   6.9   3.8
  8000  -0.6  30.9  340   5  2   7.8   4.3 |  -0.7  30.7  295   2  1   8.8   4.8
  7750   0.0  32.0  340   4  2   7.5   4.1 |  -0.0  32.0  295   2  1   9.0   4.9
  7500   0.5  32.9  345   3  2   6.5   3.6 |   0.6  33.1  300   1  1   7.1   3.9
  7250   1.0  33.8  360   2  1   6.4   3.5 |   1.0  33.8  315   1  0   5.8   3.2
  7000   1.4  34.5  025   2  1   6.3   3.4 |   1.5  34.7  335   1  0   9.8   5.4
  6750   1.9  35.4  020   1  1   5.4   2.9 |   2.4  36.3  305   1  0  11.2   6.2
  6500   2.2  36.0  045   1  1   4.4   2.4 |   3.1  37.6  315   1  0   8.6   4.7
  6250   2.6  36.7  070   1  1   6.1   3.3 |   3.7  38.7  325   1  0   8.5   4.7
  6000   2.9  37.2  090   1  1   0.2   0.1 |   4.4  39.9  335   1  0  11.5   6.3
  5750   2.4  36.3  130   1  1 -14.3  -7.8 |   5.5  41.9  315   1  0  19.4  10.7
  5500   1.8  35.2  145   1  1   9.1   5.0 |   6.7  44.1  330   1  0   4.3   2.4
  5250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  5000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           11/25/2025 at 1400 MST          |       11/25/2025 at 1700 MST
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +9.5        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +9.8
CINH...     0.0    K Index...  -2.9        | CINH...     0.0    K Index...  -2.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -60.7 -77.3  290  44 23   0.2   0.1 | -61.7 -79.1  300  44 23  -0.2  -0.1
 45000 -60.4 -76.7  300  49 25  -0.4  -0.2 | -62.0 -79.6  315  54 28  -0.4  -0.2
 40000 -63.7 -82.7  325  60 31  -2.3  -1.2 | -64.0 -83.2  320  64 33  -1.4  -0.8
 38000 -62.3 -80.1  335  68 35   6.5   3.6 | -62.2 -80.0  325  67 35   7.0   3.9
 36000 -58.4 -73.1  340  76 39   6.5   3.6 | -58.0 -72.4  330  71 36   7.0   3.9
 34000 -54.2 -65.6  340  81 42   8.3   4.5 | -53.0 -63.4  330  74 38   8.5   4.7
 32000 -49.2 -56.6  335  79 41   8.3   4.5 | -47.9 -54.2  325  72 37   8.5   4.7
 30000 -44.2 -47.6  330  76 39   8.4   4.6 | -42.8 -45.0  320  71 37   8.6   4.7
 29000 -41.7 -43.1  325  73 38   8.5   4.7 | -40.2 -40.4  320  70 36   8.6   4.7
 28000 -39.1 -38.4  325  70 36   8.5   4.7 | -37.6 -35.7  320  69 36   8.6   4.7
 27000 -35.9 -32.6  325  66 34   8.3   4.6 | -35.1 -31.2  320  68 35   8.1   4.4
 26000 -33.4 -28.1  325  62 32   8.3   4.6 | -32.7 -26.9  320  64 33   8.0   4.4
 25000 -30.9 -23.6  320  57 30   8.3   4.6 | -30.3 -22.5  320  61 32   8.0   4.4
 24000 -28.4 -19.1  320  54 28   8.4   4.6 | -27.9 -18.2  320  58 30   7.8   4.3
 23000 -25.9 -14.6  315  52 27   8.4   4.6 | -25.6 -14.1  320  54 28   7.5   4.1
 22000 -23.4 -10.1  315  50 26   8.4   4.6 | -22.8  -9.0  315  50 26   7.5   4.1
 21000 -21.0  -5.8  315  48 25   6.5   3.6 | -20.7  -5.3  315  46 24   6.8   3.7
 20000 -19.0  -2.2  310  45 23   6.7   3.7 | -18.6  -1.5  315  44 22   6.8   3.8
 19500 -18.0  -0.4  310  43 22   6.7   3.7 | -17.6   0.3  315  42 22   6.9   3.8
 19000 -17.0   1.4  310  41 21   6.9   3.8 | -16.6   2.1  315  41 21   6.9   3.8
 18500 -16.1   3.0  310  40 21   5.2   2.9 | -15.6   3.9  315  39 20   6.3   3.4
 18000 -15.3   4.5  310  39 20   5.1   2.8 | -14.7   5.5  310  38 19   6.3   3.5
 17500 -14.6   5.7  310  37 19   4.6   2.5 | -13.7   7.3  310  36 19   5.2   2.9
 17000 -14.0   6.8  310  36 18   3.8   2.1 | -13.1   8.4  310  34 18   4.5   2.5
 16500 -13.4   7.9  310  34 17   3.8   2.1 | -12.4   9.7  310  33 17   4.3   2.3
 16000 -12.9   8.8  310  32 16   3.2   1.7 | -11.9  10.6  310  31 16   2.9   1.6
 15500 -12.4   9.7  310  30 15   3.2   1.7 | -11.5  11.3  310  29 15   3.0   1.7
 15000 -11.9  10.6  305  28 14   4.0   2.2 | -11.0  12.2  310  27 14   3.0   1.7
 14500 -11.3  11.7  305  26 13   4.0   2.2 | -10.6  12.9  310  25 13   3.0   1.7
 14000 -10.7  12.7  305  24 12   4.4   2.4 | -10.1  13.8  305  23 12   3.4   1.9
 13500 -10.0  14.0  305  23 12   4.5   2.5 |  -9.6  14.7  305  21 11   3.5   1.9
 13000  -9.3  15.3  305  21 11   4.7   2.6 |  -9.0  15.8  305  20 10   4.2   2.3
 12500  -8.6  16.5  300  20 10   4.8   2.6 |  -8.4  16.9  300  18  9   4.4   2.4
 12000  -7.9  17.8  300  18  9   5.0   2.7 |  -7.7  18.1  300  16  8   5.3   2.9
 11500  -7.1  19.2  300  16  8   5.2   2.9 |  -6.9  19.6  300  15  7   5.7   3.1
 11000  -6.4  20.5  300  15  8   5.6   3.1 |  -6.0  21.2  295  13  7   6.1   3.3
 10500  -5.5  22.1  300  13  6   5.9   3.2 |  -5.1  22.8  295  11  6   6.1   3.4
 10250  -5.1  22.8  295  12  6   5.6   3.1 |  -4.7  23.5  290  10  5   6.7   3.7
 10000  -4.7  23.5  295  11  6   6.2   3.4 |  -4.2  24.4  290  10  5   7.2   4.0
  9750  -4.2  24.4  295  11  6   7.4   4.1 |  -3.6  25.5  290   9  5   7.1   3.9
  9500  -3.6  25.5  295   9  5   7.5   4.1 |  -3.1  26.4  290   8  4   6.7   3.7
  9250  -3.1  26.4  295   8  4   7.5   4.1 |  -2.6  27.3  285   7  4   8.1   4.5
  9000  -2.5  27.5  295   8  4   7.6   4.2 |  -1.9  28.6  285   7  4   9.5   5.2
  8750  -1.4  29.5  290   6  3   8.2   4.5 |  -1.3  29.7  285   7  3   7.7   4.3
  8500  -0.8  30.6  290   6  3   7.1   3.9 |  -0.2  31.6  285   5  3   7.7   4.2
  8250  -0.4  31.3  295   6  3   5.6   3.1 |   0.3  32.5  290   5  3   8.1   4.4
  8000   0.1  32.2  295   5  3   9.5   5.2 |   0.9  33.6  290   5  3   8.1   4.4
  7750   1.0  33.8  295   5  2  10.9   6.0 |   1.5  34.7  290   4  2   8.0   4.4
  7500   1.6  34.9  300   5  2   8.0   4.4 |   2.1  35.8  295   4  2   7.7   4.2
  7250   2.2  36.0  300   5  2   5.9   3.2 |   2.7  36.9  300   4  2   7.6   4.2
  7000   2.7  36.9  305   4  2  11.8   6.5 |   3.2  37.8  305   4  2   7.7   4.2
  6750   3.8  38.8  300   4  2  13.0   7.2 |   3.8  38.8  295   2  1   8.4   4.6
  6500   4.5  40.1  305   4  2   8.6   4.7 |   4.4  39.9  305   2  1   8.2   4.5
  6250   5.2  41.4  305   4  2   9.0   5.0 |   5.1  41.2  315   2  1   9.8   5.4
  6000   5.9  42.6  310   4  2  11.6   6.4 |   5.7  42.3  320   3  1   3.8   2.1
  5750   7.1  44.8  305   4  2  19.5  10.7 |   5.4  41.7  310   2  1 -11.0  -6.0
  5500   8.3  46.9  315   4  2   6.5   3.6 |   5.1  41.2  335   2  1  15.9   8.7
  5250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  5000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at Walker Field in Grand
Junction, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 07 min 00.001 sec
                   West Longitude: 108 deg 31 min 59.998 sec
                   Elevation: 4839 feet (1475 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Western Slope of
Colorado.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models
differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear
to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613