Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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907
UXUS97 KGJT 291306
SRGGJT

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Grand Junction, Colorado
606 AM MST Saturday, November 29, 2025

This forecast is for Saturday, November 29, 2025:

If the trigger temperature of 47.7 F/8.7 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Fair
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 307 ft/min (1.6 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 9809 ft MSL (4203 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 48.0 F/9.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1300 MST
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7192 ft MSL (1586 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 11/30....... Poor

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:12:56 / 16:52:19 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 39 min 23 sec (579 min 23 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:02:37 MST... 29.27 degrees

Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 11/29/2025 at 0500 MST

Freezing level.................. 7873 ft MSL (2267 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16099 ft MSL (10493 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13369 ft MSL (7763 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +8.3
K index......................... -5.5

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -58.7 -73.7   280   49   25   0.4   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -58.1 -72.6   275   62   32   0.3   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -59.7 -75.5   270   67   34  -1.2  -0.7      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -60.0 -76.0   265   69   35   1.9   1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -58.8 -73.8   270   68   35   2.0   1.1      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -57.2 -71.0   270   68   35   6.9   3.8      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -52.2 -62.0   270   65   33   8.4   4.6      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -47.2 -53.0   275   61   31   8.9   4.9   27.8  82.0    14.2      M    M
 29000  -44.5 -48.1   275   58   30   8.8   4.8   27.3  81.1    14.0      M    M
 28000  -41.9 -43.4   275   54   28   8.8   4.8   26.9  80.4    13.9      M    M
 27000  -39.3 -38.7   275   51   26   8.9   4.9   26.6  80.0    13.8      M    M
 26000  -36.9 -34.4   270   49   25   7.8   4.3   25.9  78.7    13.4      M    M
 25000  -34.6 -30.3   270   49   25   7.8   4.3   25.2  77.3    13.0      M    M
 24000  -32.2 -26.0   265   48   25   7.8   4.3   24.5  76.1    12.6      M    M
 23000  -30.0 -22.0   265   48   25   7.1   3.9   23.6  74.5    12.0      M    M
 22000  -27.9 -18.2   265   47   24   7.1   3.9   22.6  72.7    11.3      M    M
 21000  -25.8 -14.4   260   46   24   7.2   3.9   21.8  71.2    10.7      M    M
 20000  -23.7 -10.7   260   44   23   6.9   3.8   20.7  69.3     9.9      M    M
 19500  -22.7  -8.9   260   43   22   6.9   3.8   20.2  68.4     9.5      M    M
 19000  -21.1  -6.0   260   41   21   6.8   3.8   19.5  67.1     9.0      M    M
 18500  -20.1  -4.2   260   40   20   6.5   3.6   19.0  66.3     8.7      M    M
 18000  -19.2  -2.6   260   38   20   6.1   3.4   18.4  65.1     8.2      M    M
 17500  -18.3  -0.9   260   37   19   6.0   3.3   17.8  64.0     7.7      M    M
 17000  -17.3   0.9   260   36   19   7.1   3.9   17.2  63.0     7.3      M    M
 16500  -16.2   2.8   260   35   18   7.0   3.8   16.8  62.2     6.9      M    M
 16000  -15.2   4.6   255   34   18   6.7   3.7   16.3  61.3     6.5      M    M
 15500  -14.2   6.4   255   34   17   6.6   3.6   15.8  60.4     6.1      M    M
 15000  -13.2   8.2   250   34   17   6.0   3.3   15.3  59.5     5.7      M    M
 14500  -12.4   9.7   250   33   17   5.1   2.8   14.5  58.1     5.0      M    M
 14000  -11.7  10.9   245   33   17   5.0   2.7   13.7  56.7     4.3      M    M
 13500  -11.0  12.2   245   34   17   4.6   2.5   12.9  55.2     3.5      M    M
 13000  -10.3  13.5   240   34   17   4.9   2.7   12.1  53.7     2.7      M    M
 12500   -9.6  14.7   240   34   17   6.1   3.3   11.4  52.5     2.1      M    M
 12000   -8.7  16.3   240   33   17   6.2   3.4   10.8  51.4     1.5      M    M
 11500   -7.7  18.1   235   32   16   8.0   4.4   10.4  50.7     1.1      M    M
 11000   -6.5  20.3   230   30   15   7.7   4.2   10.1  50.1     0.8      M    M
 10500   -5.4  22.3   230   27   14   6.7   3.7    9.7  49.4     0.4      M    M
 10250   -4.9  23.2   230   26   13   8.1   4.4    9.5  49.0     0.2      M    M
 10000   -4.2  24.4   225   25   13   8.6   4.7    9.4  48.9     0.1      M    M
  9750   -3.6  25.5   225   24   12   7.0   3.9    9.2  48.6    -0.0    305  1.5
  9500   -3.1  26.4   220   23   12   6.7   3.7    9.0  48.2    -0.2    282  1.4
  9250   -2.6  27.3   220   22   12   7.1   3.9    8.8  47.8    -0.5    259  1.3
  9000   -2.1  28.2   215   21   11   6.8   3.7    8.6  47.4    -0.7    236  1.2
  8750   -1.6  29.1   215   21   11   6.2   3.4    8.3  46.9    -0.9    215  1.1
  8500   -1.2  29.8   210   20   10   6.5   3.6    8.0  46.5    -1.2    193  1.0
  8250   -0.7  30.7   210   19   10   5.5   3.0    7.8  46.0    -1.5    172  0.9
  8000   -0.3  31.5   205   19   10   5.1   2.8    7.4  45.3    -1.8    154  0.8
  7750    0.1  32.2   200   18    9   5.7   3.1    7.1  44.7    -2.1    134  0.7
  7500    0.5  32.9   200   17    9   5.7   3.1    6.8  44.2    -2.5    114  0.6
  7250    0.9  33.6   195   16    8   5.2   2.8    6.5  43.6    -2.8     94  0.5
  7000    1.3  34.3   185   16    8   4.2   2.3    6.1  42.9    -3.2     77  0.4
  6750    1.6  34.9   180   15    8   4.4   2.4    5.6  42.1    -3.6     60  0.3
  6500    1.9  35.4   175   14    7   3.6   2.0    5.2  41.4    -4.0     43  0.2
  6250    2.0  35.6   170   12    6  -2.9  -1.6    4.6  40.2    -4.7     33  0.2
  6000    1.7  35.1   160   10    5  -2.5  -1.4    3.5  38.3    -5.7     35  0.2
  5750    1.7  35.1   150    9    4   2.5   1.4    2.8  37.1    -6.4     25  0.1
  5500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  5250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  5000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           11/29/2025 at 0800 MST          |       11/29/2025 at 1100 MST
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +8.1        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +8.1
CINH...     0.0    K Index... -19.2        | CINH...    -0.1    K Index... -14.8
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -60.8 -77.4  285  52 27  -0.1  -0.0 | -60.7 -77.3  280  57 29   0.1   0.0
 45000 -60.9 -77.6  285  65 33   0.0   0.0 | -60.5 -76.9  280  68 35   0.1   0.1
 40000 -63.3 -81.9  285  85 44  -1.7  -0.9 | -62.7 -80.9  275  81 42  -1.5  -0.8
 38000 -62.1 -79.8  285  89 46   6.5   3.5 | -61.6 -78.9  275  83 43   5.9   3.2
 36000 -58.2 -72.8  285  87 45   6.5   3.5 | -58.0 -72.4  275  83 43   5.9   3.2
 34000 -54.3 -65.7  290  85 44   7.8   4.3 | -54.3 -65.7  275  82 42   8.4   4.6
 32000 -49.6 -57.3  290  80 41   7.7   4.2 | -49.4 -56.9  275  80 41   8.2   4.5
 30000 -45.0 -49.0  295  74 38   8.4   4.6 | -44.5 -48.1  280  77 40   8.1   4.4
 29000 -42.5 -44.5  295  72 37   8.4   4.6 | -42.1 -43.8  280  75 38   8.1   4.4
 28000 -40.0 -40.0  295  69 36   8.4   4.6 | -39.6 -39.3  280  72 37   8.1   4.4
 27000 -37.5 -35.5  295  67 34   8.3   4.6 | -37.2 -35.0  285  70 36   8.0   4.4
 26000 -35.1 -31.2  295  65 33   7.8   4.3 | -35.0 -31.0  285  68 35   7.1   3.9
 25000 -32.8 -27.0  295  63 33   7.8   4.3 | -32.9 -27.2  285  65 34   7.1   3.9
 24000 -30.5 -22.9  295  61 32   8.0   4.4 | -30.2 -22.4  285  62 32   6.9   3.8
 23000 -27.9 -18.2  295  58 30   6.5   3.6 | -28.3 -18.9  290  59 30   6.6   3.6
 22000 -26.0 -14.8  295  54 28   6.5   3.6 | -26.3 -15.3  290  56 29   6.6   3.6
 21000 -24.1 -11.4  295  51 26   6.1   3.3 | -24.4 -11.9  295  53 27   5.9   3.2
 20000 -22.2  -8.0  300  46 24   6.0   3.3 | -22.7  -8.9  295  48 25   5.8   3.2
 19500 -21.3  -6.3  300  44 23   6.0   3.3 | -21.8  -7.2  295  46 24   5.8   3.2
 19000 -20.4  -4.7  300  42 22   6.0   3.3 | -20.9  -5.6  295  43 22   5.7   3.2
 18500 -19.5  -3.1  300  40 21   6.4   3.5 | -20.1  -4.2  300  41 21   6.1   3.4
 18000 -18.5  -1.3  305  38 20   6.5   3.6 | -19.1  -2.4  300  39 20   6.3   3.5
 17500 -17.6   0.3  305  36 19   6.5   3.6 | -18.2  -0.8  300  37 19   6.3   3.5
 17000 -16.6   2.1  310  34 18   6.4   3.5 | -17.2   1.0  305  36 18   6.6   3.6
 16500 -15.6   3.9  310  33 17   6.4   3.5 | -16.2   2.8  305  34 18   6.6   3.6
 16000 -14.7   5.5  315  32 16   6.5   3.6 | -15.2   4.6  305  33 17   6.9   3.8
 15500 -13.7   7.3  315  30 16   6.5   3.6 | -14.1   6.6  310  31 16   6.9   3.8
 15000 -12.7   9.1  320  29 15   6.4   3.5 | -13.1   8.4  310  30 16   6.7   3.7
 14500 -11.8  10.8  320  28 14   6.3   3.4 | -12.1  10.2  315  28 15   6.6   3.6
 14000 -10.8  12.6  325  27 14   5.6   3.1 | -11.1  12.0  315  27 14   6.1   3.4
 13500 -10.1  13.8  325  25 13   4.6   2.5 | -10.2  13.6  315  25 13   5.6   3.1
 13000  -9.4  15.1  325  24 12   3.9   2.1 |  -9.4  15.1  320  22 12   5.0   2.8
 12500  -9.1  15.6  325  21 11   2.0   1.1 |  -8.8  16.2  325  20 10   4.1   2.2
 12000  -8.8  16.2  325  18  9   2.2   1.2 |  -8.2  17.2  325  18  9   3.6   2.0
 11500  -8.5  16.7  325  15  8   2.4   1.3 |  -7.8  18.0  325  15  8   2.7   1.5
 11000  -8.2  17.2  330  11  6   3.3   1.8 |  -7.4  18.7  325  12  6   3.2   1.8
 10500  -7.6  18.3  335   9  5   5.0   2.7 |  -6.9  19.6  325  10  5   4.0   2.2
 10250  -7.2  19.0  340   9  4   5.5   3.0 |  -6.6  20.1  325   8  4   3.9   2.2
 10000  -6.8  19.8  350   8  4   3.4   1.9 |  -6.4  20.5  325   7  4   3.8   2.1
  9750  -6.6  20.1  350   8  4   4.8   2.6 |  -6.0  21.2  325   6  3   5.5   3.0
  9500  -6.1  21.0  360   8  4   8.0   4.4 |  -5.6  21.9  330   5  3   6.9   3.8
  9250  -5.6  21.9  010   9  4   7.2   3.9 |  -5.1  22.8  340   4  2   6.5   3.6
  9000  -5.0  23.0  020   9  5   7.4   4.0 |  -4.6  23.7  345   4  2   6.5   3.5
  8750  -4.5  23.9  025  10  5   6.9   3.8 |  -4.1  24.6  350   3  2   6.3   3.5
  8500  -4.0  24.8  030  10  5   6.7   3.7 |  -3.7  25.3  010   3  2   6.3   3.5
  8250  -3.5  25.7  035  11  6   6.7   3.7 |  -2.8  27.0  035   4  2   5.8   3.2
  8000  -2.6  27.3  045  12  6   7.7   4.2 |  -2.3  27.9  040   4  2   7.6   4.2
  7750  -1.9  28.6  045  11  6   9.3   5.1 |  -1.7  28.9  045   4  2   9.0   4.9
  7500  -1.3  29.7  045  11  6   7.4   4.0 |  -1.1  30.0  045   5  2   7.9   4.3
  7250  -0.8  30.6  050  11  6   5.7   3.1 |  -0.5  31.1  050   5  3   6.4   3.5
  7000  -0.3  31.5  055  12  6   8.5   4.7 |   0.0  32.0  050   5  3  10.4   5.7
  6750   0.4  32.7  055   9  5   8.4   4.6 |   1.0  33.8  050   5  2  11.8   6.5
  6500   0.8  33.4  055   8  4   5.0   2.7 |   1.7  35.1  050   5  3   9.1   5.0
  6250   1.2  34.2  060   7  4   6.7   3.7 |   2.4  36.3  050   5  3   9.1   5.0
  6000   1.6  34.9  070   7  4   1.6   0.9 |   3.1  37.6  050   5  3  11.2   6.1
  5750   1.2  34.2  070   4  2 -13.1  -7.2 |   4.2  39.6  050   4  2  18.1   9.9
  5500   0.3  32.5  080   2  1  -4.7  -2.6 |   5.5  41.9  050   4  2  13.5   7.4
  5250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  5000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           11/29/2025 at 1400 MST          |       11/29/2025 at 1700 MST
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.7        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +6.2
CINH...    -0.1    K Index...  -4.6        | CINH...     0.0    K Index...  -5.0
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -60.9 -77.6  280  64 33  -0.0  -0.0 | -60.3 -76.5  285  62 32   0.1   0.1
 45000 -61.0 -77.8  275  80 41   0.0   0.0 | -60.1 -76.2  280  78 40   0.2   0.1
 40000 -62.6 -80.7  270  87 45  -1.2  -0.7 | -62.1 -79.8  270  89 46  -1.4  -0.8
 38000 -61.4 -78.5  270  87 45   6.1   3.4 | -61.2 -78.2  265  91 47   5.6   3.1
 36000 -57.8 -72.0  270  86 44   6.1   3.4 | -57.8 -72.0  265  89 46   5.6   3.1
 34000 -54.0 -65.2  270  83 43   8.1   4.4 | -54.3 -65.7  265  86 44   7.8   4.3
 32000 -49.2 -56.6  270  80 41   7.9   4.3 | -49.7 -57.5  270  81 42   7.7   4.2
 30000 -44.5 -48.1  270  76 39   7.8   4.3 | -45.1 -49.2  270  77 40   7.6   4.2
 29000 -42.2 -44.0  275  75 38   7.9   4.3 | -42.9 -45.2  270  74 38   7.5   4.1
 28000 -39.8 -39.6  275  73 38   7.9   4.3 | -40.6 -41.1  275  71 37   7.5   4.1
 27000 -37.5 -35.5  275  72 37   7.8   4.3 | -38.4 -37.1  275  69 35   7.6   4.2
 26000 -35.5 -31.9  280  69 35   6.4   3.5 | -36.4 -33.5  275  64 33   6.3   3.5
 25000 -33.6 -28.5  280  65 34   6.4   3.5 | -34.5 -30.1  280  59 31   6.3   3.5
 24000 -31.7 -25.1  280  62 32   6.4   3.5 | -32.7 -26.9  285  55 28   6.4   3.5
 23000 -29.3 -20.7  285  57 29   6.3   3.4 | -30.3 -22.5  290  49 25   6.2   3.4
 22000 -27.5 -17.5  290  53 27   6.3   3.5 | -28.5 -19.3  295  45 23   6.2   3.4
 21000 -25.6 -14.1  295  49 25   6.3   3.4 | -26.6 -15.9  300  41 21   7.0   3.8
 20000 -23.7 -10.7  295  45 23   6.3   3.4 | -24.4 -11.9  300  39 20   7.2   4.0
 19500 -22.8  -9.0  295  43 22   6.3   3.4 | -23.4 -10.1  305  38 20   7.2   4.0
 19000 -21.9  -7.4  300  42 21   6.3   3.4 | -22.3  -8.1  305  37 19   7.3   4.0
 18500 -20.9  -5.6  300  40 20   6.7   3.7 | -21.2  -6.2  305  36 19   7.3   4.0
 18000 -19.9  -3.8  300  38 19   6.9   3.8 | -20.1  -4.2  305  35 18   7.4   4.0
 17500 -18.8  -1.8  305  36 18   6.9   3.8 | -19.0  -2.2  305  34 18   7.3   4.0
 17000 -17.8  -0.0  305  34 18   6.5   3.6 | -17.9  -0.2  310  33 17   7.2   4.0
 16500 -16.9   1.6  305  33 17   6.5   3.6 | -16.8   1.8  310  32 16   7.3   4.0
 16000 -15.8   3.6  310  31 16   7.2   4.0 | -15.8   3.6  310  30 16   7.1   3.9
 15500 -14.8   5.4  310  31 16   7.2   4.0 | -14.7   5.5  310  29 15   7.1   3.9
 15000 -13.7   7.3  315  30 15   7.3   4.0 | -13.6   7.5  315  28 14   7.2   3.9
 14500 -12.5   9.5  315  29 15   7.4   4.0 | -12.5   9.5  315  27 14   7.2   4.0
 14000 -11.4  11.5  315  28 14   7.1   3.9 | -11.5  11.3  315  25 13   7.1   3.9
 13500 -10.4  13.3  315  26 14   6.7   3.7 | -10.4  13.3  320  23 12   6.9   3.8
 13000  -9.4  15.1  315  25 13   6.2   3.4 |  -9.4  15.1  320  21 11   6.5   3.6
 12500  -8.6  16.5  315  22 11   5.2   2.8 |  -8.5  16.7  320  19 10   5.6   3.1
 12000  -7.8  18.0  315  20 10   4.9   2.7 |  -7.7  18.1  320  16  8   5.5   3.0
 11500  -7.1  19.2  315  17  9   4.4   2.4 |  -6.9  19.6  320  13  7   4.8   2.7
 11000  -6.5  20.3  315  14  7   4.3   2.4 |  -6.2  20.8  315  10  5   5.0   2.8
 10500  -5.9  21.4  315  11  6   4.2   2.3 |  -5.4  22.3  315   8  4   5.5   3.0
 10250  -5.6  21.9  315  10  5   4.2   2.3 |  -5.0  23.0  315   6  3   5.5   3.0
 10000  -5.3  22.5  315   8  4   4.4   2.4 |  -4.6  23.7  310   5  3   5.5   3.0
  9750  -5.0  23.0  315   8  4   5.5   3.0 |  -4.2  24.4  310   5  2   6.3   3.5
  9500  -4.5  23.9  320   6  3   6.1   3.4 |  -3.7  25.3  310   3  2   7.0   3.8
  9250  -4.1  24.6  325   5  3   5.9   3.3 |  -3.2  26.2  305   2  1   6.9   3.8
  9000  -3.7  25.3  330   4  2   6.4   3.5 |  -2.7  27.1  300   1  0   7.8   4.3
  8750  -3.2  26.2  340   3  2   7.6   4.2 |  -1.6  29.1  000   0  0   6.4   3.5
  8500  -2.6  27.3  350   3  2   8.5   4.7 |  -1.1  30.0  110   1  1   6.7   3.7
  8250  -2.0  28.4  005   3  1   7.4   4.0 |  -0.6  30.9  105   2  1   6.6   3.6
  8000  -1.0  30.2  025   3  2   8.6   4.7 |  -0.1  31.8  100   2  1   7.3   4.0
  7750  -0.2  31.6  025   3  2  11.2   6.1 |   0.5  32.9  100   3  1   8.0   4.4
  7500   0.5  32.9  025   3  2   8.4   4.6 |   1.0  33.8  100   3  2   7.2   3.9
  7250   1.0  33.8  030   3  2   5.6   3.1 |   1.5  34.7  095   4  2   5.9   3.2
  7000   1.5  34.7  035   3  2  10.7   5.9 |   2.0  35.6  095   4  2   8.1   4.4
  6750   2.5  36.5  030   3  2  13.0   7.1 |   2.7  36.9  090   4  2   9.6   5.3
  6500   3.3  37.9  030   3  2   9.5   5.2 |   3.4  38.1  090   4  2   8.3   4.6
  6250   4.0  39.2  035   3  2   9.6   5.3 |   4.0  39.2  090   4  2   9.3   5.1
  6000   4.8  40.6  035   3  2  10.7   5.9 |   4.6  40.3  085   4  2   5.8   3.2
  5750   5.7  42.3  030   3  1  15.6   8.6 |   4.6  40.3  090   2  1  -6.2  -3.4
  5500   7.1  44.8  035   3  1  19.3  10.6 |   3.9  39.0  085   2  1  -7.8  -4.3
  5250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  5000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at Walker Field in Grand
Junction, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 07 min 00.001 sec
                   West Longitude: 108 deg 31 min 59.998 sec
                   Elevation: 4839 feet (1475 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Western Slope of
Colorado.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models
differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear
to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613