918
FXUS63 KGLD 112307
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
407 PM MST Tue Nov 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Continued dry forecast through the week until next weekend.

- Gradual warming temperature trend through the work week. Near
  record to record highs possible Thursday and Friday.

- Low relative humidity leading to some fire weather concerns.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 1245 PM MST Tue Nov 11 2025

Upper ridging will dominate the short term period with dry
conditions and above normal temperatures. High temperatures will
be in the upper 60s on Wednesday followed mid 70s on Thursday
and Friday. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s. With the warm
temperatures afternoon relative humidity minimums will fall into
the teens and 20s each day, lowest in Colorado, leading to fire
weather concerns. However, wind speeds under the ridge will be
light even with deep mixing, favoring elevated fire weather
conditions rather than critical.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1245 PM MST Tue Nov 11 2025

Details of the weekend system have changed dramatically compared
to just 24 hours ago. Models now take the closed upper low much
further north, across northern Colorado into Nebraska, compared
to the southerly track seen yesterday. The models are also
slower, bringing it across the Rockies Sunday night and Monday
which is when we may see precipitation chances. However, given
the large changes confidence is low and will need to see what
the models do the next few days as they are obviously struggling
with this system. Temperatures over the weekend will begin to
cool closer to normal, with the first front on Saturday dropping
highs into the 60s followed by 50s for Sunday through Tuesday
with clouds and a secondary cold push associated with the upper
low. Low temperatures follow a similar trend with 40s on
Saturday, 30s Sunday and Monday, and 20s by Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 358 PM MST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the period as winds become
light and variable overnight. Winds will shift to the south and
increase after 16z, primarily at KGLD. There is a small (%5) of
some valley fog developing near KMCK but threat is far too
conditional to include in terminal forecast at this time.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...JRM