227
FGUS63 KKRF 151511
ESPGRA

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1510Z Tue Sep 15 2026

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- GRAND FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:THOMPSON R AT DAVIS CITY IA
DVSI4 (DMX)    8.0   53%     12.0  23%     20.0  7%      24.0  <5%
:THOMPSON R AT TRENTON MO 1W
TTZM7 (EAX)    25.0  23%     27.0  13%     31.0  <5%     34.0  <5%
:GRAND R AT PATTONSBURG MO 2S
PATM7 (EAX)    23.0  66%     25.0  55%     30.0  33%     32.0  21%
:GRAND R AT GALLATIN MO
GAZM7 (EAX)    24.0  61%     26.0  42%     33.0  7%      39.0  <5%
:GRAND R AT CHILLICOTHE MO 3S
CHZM7 (EAX)    22.0  63%     24.0  56%     28.0  50%     35.0  26%
:GRAND R AT SUMNER MO 2SW
SNZM7 (EAX)    24.0  79%     26.0  74%     28.0  69%     40.0  <5%
:S FK CHARITON R AT PROMISE CITY IA 6NW
PRMI4 (DMX)    22.0  19%     25.0  8%      28.0  <5%     31.0  <5%
:CHARITON R AT CHARITON IA 5SSE
CHTI4 (DMX)    16.0  40%     19.5  13%     26.0  <5%     29.0  <5%
:CHARITON R AT MOULTON IA 5W
MOLI4 (DMX)    33.0  26%     36.0  6%      37.0  <5%     38.0  <5%
:CHARITON R AT NOVINGER MO
NVZM7 (EAX)    18.0  26%     20.0  22%     23.0  15%     26.0  <5%
:CHARITON R AT PRAIRIE HILL MO 2NW
PRIM7 (EAX)    13.0  45%     15.0  29%     19.0  6%      21.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$