290
FXUS63 KGRR 032324
AFDGRR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
624 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler

Height falls commence this evening as shortwave upper ridging is
replaced by a slow moving upper low the next couple days. Still
looks like the bulk of the convective rains will remain south of
the forecast area with total QPF through Thursday generally less
than a quarter inch.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon but dry
slotting occurs rather quickly as the surface low tracks across
Wisconsin and the Michigan U.P. Then cooler and showery weather
Thursday and Friday with wraparound moisture and some lake
enhancement as mid level thermal trough axis moves through.

Models have trended further north with the Sunday clipper and
associated precip looks to stay to the north.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 624 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

South-southeast winds around 10 knots and VFR conditions persist
this evening with ceilings at or above 4,000 feet. Low level wind
shear develops tonight after 03 or 04 and will begin to abate
around 12 Z in favor of more surface gusts. Rain showers and MVFR
ceilings are also expected to move in around that time. The HRRR
indicates rain showers may produce temporary IFR visibility during
the day Wednesday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 615 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Daily record maximum temperatures for November 3 (and the most
recent occurrence) are as follows:

Grand Rapids (GRR): 76 degrees (2015)
Lansing (LAN): 77 degrees (2015)
Kalamazoo (AZO): 74 degrees (2015)
Muskegon (MKG): 70 degrees (2022)
Battle Creek (BTL): 75 degrees (2015)
Holland (BIV): 76 degrees (1938)

Daily record warm minimum temperatures for November 3:

Grand Rapids (GRR): 59 degrees (1938)
Lansing (LAN): 58 degrees (1987)
Kalamazoo (AZO): 56 degrees (2005)
Muskegon (MKG): 57 degrees (2008)
Battle Creek (BTL): 55 degrees (1977)
Holland (BIV): 58 degrees (1938)

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ844>846.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for LMZ847>849.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Ostuno
AVIATION...CAS
CLIMATE...BRC