Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
992
FNUS53 KGRR 201955
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
355 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
...The very warm conditions will continue...
.DISCUSSION...A frontal system in the area this evening will
lead to a few thunderstorms. The very warm weather will
continue into Saturday along with the risk for storms,
especially Friday night into Saturday night. Outside of
any storms with winds will be relatively weak through
Friday but by Saturday, they will increase steadily.
MIZ037>039-043>045-210815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
355 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 2
AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1900-2400
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3800-4300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....270-460 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.27 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1600-2100
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........67-72 percent near Lake Michigan and 53-58
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 2 percent
wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1040-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.98 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-210815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
355 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Patchy fog after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening then
precipitation 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....58-63.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....220-450 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.39 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.21 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1310-1570 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.51 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-210815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
355 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog after
12 AM.
Min temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....65-70.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1200-1700
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....89-94.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
6500-7000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1440-1660 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-210815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
355 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 10 PM. Patchy
fog after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....63-68.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....380-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.18 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1440-1620 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-210815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
355 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM. Areas
of fog after 12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 92.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1390-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
$$