Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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750
FNUS72 KGSP 061356
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for The Reserve...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
856 AM EST Thu Nov 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Very dry air is present above the boundary layer, but a strong
subsidence inversion will limit the depth of mixing. No precipitation
through Friday. Relative humidity looks to remain higher on Friday as
moisture returns aloft ahead of the next cold front.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming fair (26470 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 to 32.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........Unlimited.
Visibility (SM).....Unlimited.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.56.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   0   2   4   5   5   6   4   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  63  67  69  70  71  70  69  66
Dewpoint........46  50  47  46  46  45  45  44  44
RH..............80  61  50  45  43  40  40  41  45
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   9   10  9   9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.7 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.4 1.3
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   8   6   5   5   6   5
LVORI...........4   2   2   1   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............6   15  28  32  25  21  21  24  8
VRate mph-ft/1k.5   12  23  26  20  17  17  20  6
Ceiling (hft)...250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...861 863 861 860 859 858 857 856 857

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northeast 5
                    to 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2877 mph-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 3.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........Scattered clouds at 7000-10000 ft but not
                    likely forming an aviation ceiling.
Visibility (SM).....Unlimited.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.52.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   8   11  14  18  23  33  16  15  24  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  57  54  53  51  50  49  48  48  47  45  45
Dewpoint........44  44  43  42  41  40  41  40  39  39  39  39
RH..............53  61  65  67  68  70  73  73  72  74  78  80
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   3   3   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5
ADI.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
VRate mph-ft/1k.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
Ceiling (hft)...250 250 250 240 230 180 140 90  80  80  70  70
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...857 857 858 858 858 858 857 857 856 855 854 852

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast to east 2 to 5 mph initially,
                    shifting to the southwest 6 to 13 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming good (37173 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 46 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........Clouds developing down to about 4500 ft during
                    the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....Unlimited.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.36.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  31  19  21  23  26  29  32  38  43  49  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  44  46  51  57  61  63  65  67  68  68  66
Dewpoint........39  40  43  45  47  49  50  52  53  54  55  56
RH..............81  84  89  80  68  64  62  62  61  61  64  69
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   6   8   10  12  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   E   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   2   3   6   8   10  12  13  13  12  10
LVORI...........4   5   6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   3
ADI.............4   4   3   6   14  22  31  40  44  46  45  27
VRate mph-ft/1k.3   3   2   4   11  17  25  32  36  37  36  23
Ceiling (hft)...80  80  45  45  45  45  60  60  60  60  60  60
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...851 849 848 847 845 844 843 841 840 839 837 836

$$
Forecaster...JCW
Requested by...Colton Webb
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525283.0/GSP
.DELDT 11/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0