Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 071258
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Spot Forecast for Old Duffer...NC Parks
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
858 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A dry and mostly-sunny day is expected on Thursday, albeit with some brief,
patchy fog or low stratus around and shortly after dawn.  Should be a good
day to mix out quickly in the morning once the sun comes up, but mixing
will be hampered by stable air aloft.  Some potential for lower RH than
depicted here, but that stable air will prevent as much potential for
dewpoints to really crash.  The odds of RH falling below 40% appear low
at this time.

Likewise, stronger winds will struggle to mix down, and so while occasional
gusts up to 15mph are possible, winds will generally stay light through
the day, mostly 1-5mph out of the N/NW.  Winds may favor W over N at times
due to the shape of the terrain at the site.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1841 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (38439 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 47 in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........25000 increasing to 35000 early in the morning.
Visibility (SM).....7 decreasing to 5 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 7 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.31.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  16  8   10  5   1   0   2   15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  66  72  77  80  82  84  83  82
Dewpoint........57  60  61  61  61  62  61  62  62
RH..............95  80  67  58  53  50  46  49  50
20 FT wind dir..W   N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   3   5   6   6   7   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.9 4.8 5.6 4.9 3.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........8   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............4   7   19  26  35  42  47  35  26
VRate mph-ft/1k.3   6   14  20  27  33  38  28  20
Ceiling (hft)...350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350
Visibility (sm).7   8   9   10  10
Sfc pres (in)...834 836 836 835 833 832 831 831 832

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north around 5
                    mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1841 mph-ft).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 9.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........35000 decreasing to 30000 late in the evening.
Visibility (SM).....MISSING.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.33.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5   13  26  35  34  32  32  33  33  35  37  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............79  72  67  65  63  62  60  59  58  57  56  56
Dewpoint........63  62  60  60  59  58  57  56  55  54  53  53
RH..............57  70  78  85  88  89  89  89  89  89  90  89
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
ADI.............9   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRate mph-ft/1k.7   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ceiling (hft)...350 350 350 350 350 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
Visibility (sm).
Sfc pres (in)...833 835 837 839 841 842 843 843 843 844 844 845

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (920 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (16112 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 20.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........30000.
Visibility (SM).....MISSING.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.45.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  41  42  42  41  41  44  48  51  50  49  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  54  55  60  65  70  74  77  78  79  78  76
Dewpoint........52  51  52  53  55  56  57  57  57  58  59  60
RH..............90  90  87  78  69  61  55  51  49  50  53  57
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.2 2.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........7   6   6   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   3   3   3   8   12  15  19  19  20  18  16
VRate mph-ft/1k.1   1   1   3   6   9   12  14  16  16  15  13
Ceiling (hft)...300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
Visibility (sm).
Sfc pres (in)...845 846 847 849 851 853 853 852 851 851 851 851

$$
Forecaster...MPR
Requested by...Andrew Slack
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623309.0/GSP
.DELDT 10/07/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0