Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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Spot Forecast for CS #81...Great Smoky Mountains National Park
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
848 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and humid conditions are expected for the
remainder of the week, with shower and thunderstorm chances
increasing today and lingering through Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog late
                    in the morning. Chance of rain and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the morning,
                    then rain and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and early afternoon.
Ceiling (FT)........3500 decreasing to 1800 late in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 1100 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 900 late in the afternoon
                    increasing to 1100 decreasing to 900 late in
                    the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....5 increasing to 6 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 2.91 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  78  77  83  92  82  86  84  87
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....RNF RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  40  50  60  60  60  70  80
Chc of thdr (%).10  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............57  57  58  59  60  61  61  61  61
RH..............99  100 100 100 100 100 100 98  98
Aparnt tmp (F)..57  57  58  59  60  61  61  61  61
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.12  12  10  10  9   9   8   7   7
Surface wnd gst.28  25  24  23  22  21  20  16  17
Ceiling (hft)...35  35  18  27  13  11  9.0 11  9.0
Visibility (sm).5   7   6   6   5   4   4   2.9 2.9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain and chance
                    of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of
                    rain and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight. Patchy fog overnight. Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph in the evening becoming light.
Ceiling (FT)........600 decreasing to 500 late in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 400 late in the evening
                    increasing to 500 overnight decreasing to 400.
Visibility (SM).....2.91 increasing to 4 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 2.46 early in the evening
                    decreasing to 1.59 after 3 am decreasing to
                    0.72.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  91  93  89  95  81  79  80  82  77  77  80
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RNF
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  80  80  50  70  30  30  40  30  40  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).30  30  30  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  0   0
Temp............62  63  62  62  62  61  61  61  61  60  60  60
RH..............98  93  92  92  92  92  94  95  94  97  97  97
Aparnt tmp (F)..62  63  62  62  62  61  61  61  61  60  60  60
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.8   9   9   8   7   6   5   3   3   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.20  20  20  18  16  14  12  9   8   7   6   5
Ceiling (hft)...6.0 6.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Visibility (sm).2.9 4   2.9 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.9 2.5 2.5 1.6 1.6 .72

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread dense
                    fog in the morning. Slight chance of rain early
                    in the morning. Chance of rain late in the
                    morning, then slight chance of rain late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Ceiling (FT)........300 increasing to 30000.
Visibility (SM).....0.48 decreasing to 0.24 early in the morning,
                    then increasing to 0.53 late in the morning
                    increasing to 4 late in the morning increasing
                    to 7.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  71  67  67  57  49  41  38  24  27  29  26
Weather cov.....ARS WID WID CHC PTY                     SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG RNF FOG                     RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  40  10  0   0   0   0   0   20  0
Chc of thdr (%).0   10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  59  59  59  59  62  64  65  68  67  66  65
RH..............99  100 99  100 100 95  87  80  72  72  73  78
Aparnt tmp (F)..59  59  59  59  59  62  64  65  68  67  66  65
Ceiling (hft)...3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
Visibility (sm)..48 .24 .24 .53 4   7   10  10

$$
Forecaster...JPT
Requested by...Heemstra
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2625195.0/GSP
.DELDT 11/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0