704
FNUS70 PHFO 140251
FWSHFO

Spot Forecast for Saddle Road Fire...DLNR-DOFAW
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
451 PM HST Thu Aug 13 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 HST on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Typical breezy trade wind pattern prevails this afternoon through
the first half of Friday. The site of this fire will remain on the
edge of the breezy northeast trades funneling across the northwest
side of the slopes of Mauna Kea and light upslope flow this afternoon,
that will become light downsloping flow overnight and light upslope
flow again with daytime heating tomorrow. As such, the winds will
likely vary at the site of the fire. Rain in advance of Tropical Storm
Lala is forecast to spread over the Big Island late Friday and continue
through the weekend. Heavy rain and thunderstorms will be possible
throughout this time, particularly on Saturday night when the heaviest
rain is anticipated. Winds for the weekend will be highly sensitive to
the exact track of the system and will be subject to revision. However,
at this time, it appears the strongest winds will occur over southeast
and southern slopes of the Big Island and adjacent waters.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 8 to 9 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 13 mph.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy with occasional showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 23 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 7 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in
the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...Farris
Requested by...Michael Walker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619666.0/HFO
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.j.walker@hawaii.gov