900
FXUS64 KHGX 190518
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1218 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

- Seasonable temperatures and diurnally driven showers/storms for
  the next several days.
- High risk of rip currents along area beaches again Friday, and
  maybe into the weekend.
- Deeper moisture availability early-mid next week may provide some
  higher rain chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Mid level ridging will continue tracking eastward across the
Southern Plains and into the Tennessee Valley this weekend, then
further into east/northeast US early-mid next week. PW`s are only in
the 1.5-1.8" range the next few days, and with a touch of mid level
subsidence sprinkled in...think we`ll probably just see some
isolated/scattered seabreeze/diurnally driven activity across the
region. Once we get on the western periphery of the ridging early-
mid next week, it should open the door to a somewhat deeper plume of
Gulf moisture to be drawn into the region (and probably some better
rain chances/coverage). 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

Any isolated shra/tsra this afternoon will dissipate this evening.
No mention of rain in the TAFs through tonight. May have some MVFR
cigs, especially north of IAH. There are mixed signals for patchy
areas of fog in the vicinity of CLL tomorrow morning. Light south
winds tomorrow morning increasing somewhat and becoming more
southeasterly in the afternoon as the sea breeze pushes inland. A
few shra/tsra possible along the sea breeze boundary. For now,
going with PROB30s for -TSRA at IAH and CXO during the early
afternoon, while areas farther south have -SHRA PROB30s in the
late morning and early afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Look for south and southeast winds in the 10 to 15 knot range, maybe
slightly higher at times in the afternoon (bays) and night
(offshore), and 3-5ft seas should generally prevail through the
weekend. There will be a moderate-high risk of rip currents along
area beaches the next few days. Isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms remain a daily possibility. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  75  92  75  92 /   0  10   0  10
Houston (IAH)  78  93  77  92 /   0  30  10  20
Galveston (GLS)  82  89  81  89 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ436>439.

GM...None.

&&

$$