Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FNUS74 KHGX 151833
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Spot Forecast for Madison 4874...TAMFS
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
133 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

As with the past several days, this afternoon looks unseasonably
hot and dry, with RH falling to a little below 30 percent at their
minimum while temperatures rise to around 90 degrees or just a
shade below it. Fortunately, in spite of the very dry conditions,
winds generally out of the northeast will continue to remain
fairly light - less than 10 mph and more along the lines of 5 mph
or lighter.

Despite this hot and dry stretch dominating recent days, we can
expect to see a lift out of that pattern beginning. Winds should
turn more southeasterly tonight, and especially by tomorrow
morning. The onshore flow will gradually bring more humid
conditions to the area, though this far inland, the fire site will
be among the last in the area to see its benefits. As a result,
we may again see RH dip below 40 percent for one more day
tomorrow; a modest improvement, but still quite dry.

In the long term, moisture will continue to build into the
weekend, and as a weak front approaches the area Saturday,
potential for isolated to scattered showers and storms will
emerge, followed by the return of much drier air on Sunday.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR
Sky (%).........3   3   2   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0
Temp............83  86  88  86
RH..............43  36  30  32
Aparnt tmp (F)..83  84  85  84
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 4.6 4.1 3.2
Mix hgt (km)....1.3 1.4 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   6   9   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  80  74  71  69  68  66  65  64  63  60  61
RH..............35  39  49  54  58  61  65  71  73  76  84  82
Aparnt tmp (F)..83  80  74  71  69  68  66  65  64  63  60  61
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   9   8   8   8   8   7   6   5
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Sky (%).........7   5   9   9   12  21  35  46  53  56  55  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  58  59  65  72  77  81  84  85  86  84  84
RH..............85  92  93  82  67  57  48  44  43  42  45  47
Aparnt tmp (F)..60  58  59  65  72  77  82  84  85  85  85  84
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   6   6   6   6   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   7   8   10  12  14  14  15  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.8 4.7 6.0 6.5 6.5 5.9 4.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   8   10  10  12  10  10  9
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   5   4   4   4
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  15  22  21  23
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Luchs
Requested by...Matthew Tripp
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523680.0/HGX
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu