Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
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913 FXHW01 KWNH 110900 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 400 AM EST Tue Nov 11 2025 Valid 00Z Wed 12 Nov 2025 - 00Z Wed 19 Nov 2025 Breezy to windy conditions are likely over the next few days as a surface high well north of Hawaii produces a tight pressure gradient for east-northeasterly trades. Some windward showers are possible in this pattern, especially Wednesday to Friday across the Big Island and Maui with some slightly increased instability with a weak low aloft. By Friday, trades are forecast to weaken a bit to more moderate to breezy levels, lasting through the weekend. By early next week, ample tropical moisture is likely to get pulled north as troughing at the surface and aloft produces southerly flow. There is a signal for heavy rainfall but will continue to monitor trends to refine the details. Tate $$