Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA
580 FXUS66 KHNX 141730 AFDHNX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hanford CA 1030 AM PDT Mon Sep 14 2026 && KEY MESSAGES... 1. Minor Heat Risk over this week. Temperatures warm today and Tuesday before another cooldown midweek. 2. Temperatures warm up a bit this coming weekend. 3. Dry conditions will remain for the next week. && .DISCUSSION... A flattened trough and jet stream set up a slight warmup, with a prominent ridge over the South. The warm up will continue through Tuesday when there is a 70 to 80 percent chance of highs of at least 90 degrees on Tuesday. Having those windows open is pretty nice, huh? Enjoy it! Ensemble models show another trough sliding in Wednesday into Thursday, producing cooler temperatures. Not that it is a burden at all. Wednesday and Friday have a 30 to 45 percent chance of highs of at least 90 degrees but a 80 to 90 percent chance of highs below 90 on Thursday. Ensembles also show unlikely chances of wind gusts greater than 25 mph for most of our Area of Responsibility, aside from localized chances for 25 mph gusts exceeding 75% in the Los Banos, San Luis Reservoir and Lost Hills regions. The Mojave Slopes has a 75-85 percent chance of 30 mph gusts or greater on Tuesday and Wednesday before decreasing, though strong winds are not widely expected with the trough over the Mojave Desert. If you wanted to feel some extra heat before the Autumn Equinox, you are in luck as temperatures rebound this coming weekend, bringing a 75-85 percent chance of highs back in the 90s in the Valley. The CPC continue to favor above average temperatures with a 40 to 50 percent chance in the 6-10 day and 33 to 40 percent chance in the 8-14 day outlook. However, the outlooks still have a 40 to 50 percent chance of above average precipitation. A wet end to the summer is not likely, as lower MinRHs prevent this. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions prevailing for the next 24 hours. && .AIR QUALITY ISSUES... None. && .CERTAINTY... The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high. Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback. && .HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ public...Moore aviation....MC weather.gov/hanford