425
FXUS64 KHUN 301205
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
605 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1000 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

 - Cold, light rain continues through this morning (50-80%
   chance).

 - Wind chills drop into the upper-teens to low 20s Monday
   morning.

 - More cold rain, heavy at times, from Monday afternoon through
   Tuesday (90%-100% chance), low chances (~10-20%) for flooding.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 327 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Light rain continues to slowly push east across the area early
this morning ahead of an approaching cold front that will bring
colder temperatures to the area later today. Rain should clear the
local area by late this morning and gradient flow will increase
slightly as the front moves through the area. Wind gusts will not
be quite as strong as what we saw yesterday but gusts up to
15-20mph will be possible at times. With the shift to northwest
flow, daytime highs will be limited to the upper 40s/lower 50s
behind the front and even colder air arrives tonight. Be sure to
grab a jacket if headed outdoors today or this evening!

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 1000 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Behind the front, temps will be noticeably colder as we go into
tonight/Monday morning. Temperatures in the mid to upper 20s
combined with a little bit of wind at 5-10 mph will lead to
apparent (feels-like) temperatures in the upper teens to low 20s
Monday morning. Those heading outside in the early morning on
Monday should dress appropriately for the cold temps.

On Monday, our attention will turn to the next incoming weather
system as mid-level troughing deepens over the MidWest before
swinging across the TN Valley Monday night into Tuesday. At the
sfc, low pressure will develop in the northern Gulf and progress
northeastward across the FL panhandle into central GA and the
Carolinas. As a result, increasing rainfall chances will
overspread the area Monday afternoon from the south, peak Monday
night at 95%-100%, and exit to the east late Tuesday morning into
early Tuesday afternoon. Moisture will surge northward in
southerly flow with a set up more favorable for increased
precipitation rates and total rainfall amounts. Forecast 30 hour
totals look to be between 1.0-1.75 inches. Reasonable worst case
scenario would be localized spots seeing up to 2.5-3.0 inches of
rainfall, primarily in areas south of the TN River. We will keep
an eye on the forecast for any potential for frozen precipitation
but at this time the forecast remains all rain.This would likely
only occur if precip moved in early on Monday then currently
forecast. It will be cold again with temps in the 40s throughout
the rainfall event but by the time temps drop below freezing on
Tuesday night any precipitation should have already exited the
area. Chances for thunderstorms remain low.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 1000 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Wednesday and Thursday will remain dry and chilly with high and
low temps hovering around 10 degrees below normal for early
December. Morning temps in the mid 20s to low 30s can be expected
with afternoon highs around 50 degrees. The next weather system is
expected late in the week which will be the next shot at any
potential rainfall and/or wintry precipitation. Ensemble
scenarios vary in terms of timing and strength of this system so
the finer details of the forecast remain to be seen but it will
definitely be something to keep an eye on in the coming days. Stay
tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Light rain and MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys will be the main impact
through the rest of the morning ahead of an approaching cold front
that will soon shift winds to the northwest. MVFR to IFR
conditions are forecast through the remainder of the morning at
KMSL but should start to give way to VFR conditions early this
afternoon and towards the mid to late afternoon period for HSV. No
fog is currently anticipated overnight.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....KG
LONG TERM....KG
AVIATION...25