950
FXUS63 KICT 121926
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
226 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Extreme heat will continue through at least Friday and possibly
  Saturday for at least southern Kansas.

- Slightly cooler temperatures for Sunday into Monday with
  readings still be above average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 223 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

The persistent mid/upper ridge may finally shift eastward slightly
as we move through the next 24 hours. We expect another deeply mixed
pbl with little inhibition and we could see isolated storms develop
along a subtle convergence zone within the sfc trough axis
stretching across parts of central and south central KS during the
late afternoon and evening hours on Thursday. Any high-based storm
may bring a threat of damaging winds and perhaps some dry lighting,
but confidence in storm coverage remains low. Other elevated storms
may develop during the evening hours as the LLJ ramps up across
parts of central and south central Kansas. Confidence in max
temperatures remains fairly low given the uncertainry in how far
south the diffuse boundary makes it.

As we move into Friday-Saturday, we continue to see uncertainty
with the frontal boundary position which may be forced further south
depending on the amount of deep moist convection. Isolated storms
along the sfc trough axis will continue to be possible each day and
lingering cloud debris could have an impact on high temperatures
through the period. Low pops were maintained with a continuation of
triple digit heat through the period.

Sunday-Wednesday...A shortwave trough is progged to sweep across the
Northern Plains late in the weekend helping to drive a cold front
south across the Central Plains. This front may become a focus for
showers and thunderstorms on Sunday-Sunday night with mostly dry and
seasonable temperatures returning across the region on Monday.

The mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify across the Southern Plains
as we move towards the middle of the week bringing rising
heights/increasing thickness and rising temperatures back to the
area. Some low pops were maintained but confidence in wetting
precipitation remains rather low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

Gusty southwest winds and VFR will prevail this afternoon and
tonight. Winds will diminish this evening and may pick up again
around midnight as the LLJ picks up. An isolated and transient
shower or storm may develop tonight but confidence remains too
low to mention at this time.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 323 AM CDT Tue Aug 12 2026

-------------------
Thursday August 13
-------------------

Location        Forecast High       Record High
------------------------------------------------
Wichita             106                110-1936
Salina              108                118-1936
Chanute             104                109-1936
Russell             107                104-1978

-------------------
Friday August 14
-------------------

Location        Forecast High       Record High
------------------------------------------------
Wichita             102                110-1936
Salina              101                110-1936
Chanute             102                110-1936
Russell             100                106-1952

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT Friday for KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
CLIMATE...MWM