644
FXUS63 KICT 021116
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
616 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few lingering showers and clouds will gradually clear
  through the morning hours.

- Dry week ahead with seasonably mild temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 311 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Currently, the trough axis extends across the forecast area with
weak ridging focused over the Southeast US and the Desert Southwest.
At the surface, the frontal boundary that brought us cooler
temperatures and breezy northerly winds is drape across southern
Missouri and into Oklahoma. High pressure is centered over the
Northern Plains and is building south. Dense low clouds and spotty
showers linger across much of the forecast area early this morning.
This activity will continue to clear out from the northwest as a
much drier airmass filter in behind the front. Mostly clear
conditions are expected for the majority of the forecast area by
lunchtime. Winds will remain breezy out of the northeast, and
temperatures are only expected to warm into the upper 60s to lower
70s areawide this afternoon.

Temperatures are expected to remain below normal through Saturday as
we remain under the influence of the post frontal airmass. Ridging
will begin to try to build into the area this weekend, allowing
temperatures to rebound towards normal by Sunday. However, a weak
shortwave will traverse the northern tier of the country, dragging a
frontal boundary across the central US late on Sunday. This will
help to maintain near normal temperatures through Monday. Then as
ridging build in from the west by mid week, and especially later in
the week, temperatures will warm back above normal. Highs for
Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to reach into the lower 80s
across the region. Then, middle to upper 80s are expected by the end
of the forecast period.

Near zero precip chances are expected after this morning through the
end of the forecast period. Upper level northwesterly flow and a
much drier air mass will dominate through the forecast time
frame.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 613 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Mostly clear skies are observed across central Kansas, with
MVFR to IFR conditions for south-central and southeast KS. Clouds
will continue to clear from northwest to southeast through the
morning hours, with VFR conditions areawide by around 15Z.
Breezy conditions will continue for ICT and CNU through the
daytime hours with gusts to 20 knots possible. Otherwise, light
northeasterly winds are expected.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...AMD