Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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680 FXUS63 KICT 031041 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 541 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across much of the area today - Active weather pattern through the upcoming weekend with daily rain chances; widespread severe weather is not anticipated - Seasonal temperatures over the next week with highs in the 80s && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 403 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 As of 330 AM Wednesday morning, a midlevel ridge axis continues to reside across the southern Plains into the upper Midwest. Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue across northeast OK as the remnant MCV from Monday night/Tuesday morning`s convection remains nearby. Isolated showers and storms have developed across central KS on a weak 700 mb convergence axis. A 3rd area of convection is ongoing across western KS within a weak axis of low-level WAA. Finally, a fourth area of convection is ongoing across the TX Panhandle as a midlevel shortwave trough lifts north from eastern NM. Between the remnant MCV, the weak WAA, and the shortwave trough lifting across western KS, areas of showers and thunderstorms are probable across much of the area today. Meager effective shear below 20 kt will hinder the potential for strong or severe storms. The aforementioned midlevel shortwave trough is progged to slowly lift across western KS and into NE tonight into Thursday. This will keep shower and thunderstorm chances in the forecast into Thursday afternoon. The active weather pattern looks to continue through weeks-end and into the upcoming weekend. The greatest potential for widespread rainfall appears to arrive late Saturday through Sunday night as a slow moving shortwave trough glides from the southern high Plains through central and eastern KS. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 536 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026 VFR conditions are expected through much of the forecast period. Isolated showers will remain across mainly central KS this morning with the greatest coverage near GBD. A brief period of MVFR cannot be entirely ruled across south-central KS but that potential appears to be decreasing. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across portions of central and south-central KS this afternoon into the early evening. Given the sparse coverage expected, the PROB30 mentions have been continued. Prevailing or TEMPO groups may be needed with later outlooks as timing and coverage becomes more clear. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BRF AVIATION...BRF