718
FXUS63 KICT 041129
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
529 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Next chance of rain arrives on Thursday for mainly southern Kansas

- A dry and quiet weather pattern looks to setup over the region
  for Friday into early next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 133 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds to prevail over the
region today. Meanwhile early morning satellite water vapor
imagery shows a healthy PV wave over northern Nevada moving
eastward. This system will eject from the Rockies late tonight
with modest lift generating rain showers over southwest Kansas.
This system will continue to move east across Kansas with rain
showers spreading over south central and southeast Kansas during
the day on Thursday. Dry weather to follow for Friday as
briefing upper level ridging influences the region.

GFS model/GEFS ensembles show a weather system deepening and
ejecting southeast from the Rockies across western Kansas into
Oklahoma for the weekend. Moisture will be lacking and remain well
south of the region, therefore the system should move across the
central plains with little to no precipitation. The dry weather
pattern looks to continue into next week with a gradual warming
trend expected as upper level ridging re-establishes itself over
Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Low clouds in MVFR category will shift east of southeast Kansas
by mid morning with VFR conditions prevailing for all sites
over the next 24hrs. Winds are expected to remain light and from
a westerly direction.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...CDJ