608
FXUS63 KICT 031738
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1138 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances will continue for this morning and afternoon across
central and eastern Kansas

- Another weather system will bring a second round of rain to
  the region on Thursday, dry weather expected for Friday
  through the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Lingering wrap around rain showers are expected to continue with-in
the deformation zone over central and eastern Kansas today. The rain
will begin to taper off by later this afternoon as the upper wave
moves northeast into Iowa. Dry weather is slated for Wednesday with
near normal daytime highs. Meanwhile current satellite water vapor
imagery shows a healthy upper level PV wave approaching northern
California in the eastern Pacific. Deterministic and ensemble models
are showing a intensifying trend with this system and a deeper warm
advection signal. Instability looks to be limited therefore
expecting mainly rain showers. The rain will begin over western
Kansas Wednesday night and spread eastward affecting mainly south
central/southeast Kansas during the day on Thursday.

A dry weather pattern will be in store for the region on Friday
through the weekend as upper level ridging builds over Kansas on
Friday. Models do show a upper trough quickly pivoting across the
region for Saturday, but limited moisture and weakening trend of
this upper trough favors dry weather conditions. Daytime highs will
continue to be around seasonal averages for early November.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1136 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Surface low is currently situated in northeast Kansas leading to
northwesterly/westerly winds for all sites. Winds have increased
significantly behind the front, and strong winds with gusts to
35 knots will remain possible through the afternoon. Winds will
diminish significantly and cigs will lift to VFR levels for all
sites between 00-06Z. Northwesterly winds around 10 knots are
expected by midday tomorrow.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...AMD