037
FXUS63 KICT 080516
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1216 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Clearing conditions tonight with near normal temperatures for
  Wednesday.

- Warming trend for Thursday through the weekend along with near
  zero rain chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 241 PM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025

Currently, a few lingering sprinkles remain across southern Kansas
from this morning`s convection. The frontal boundary that brought
the rain early this morning is now draped across Oklahoma and
Arkansas. Persistent post-frontal cloud cover has limited our high
temperatures today with temperatures only reaching into the lower
60s so far. High pressure centered over Nebraska is building in
behind the front. Aloft, the upper-level trough axis extends across
the Central Plains and into the Upper Midwest as the deep trough
slowly traverses the Great Lakes Region.

For the rest of today and tomorrow, cool and dry air will continue
to filter in behind the front as the upper-level trough exits the
region and the surface high builds in over the Central Plains.
Clouds will mostly clear the area by this evening with partly cloudy
conditions expected on Wednesday. Dewpoints over the next 24 hours
will continue to fall. Dewpoints this afternoon will remain in the
lower 50s across the forecast area with dews falling into the mid to
upper 40s by Wednesday afternoon. Afternoon highs for Wednesday will
remain right around normal for this time of year with highs ranging
from the upper 60s in central Kansas to the middle 70s for southeast
Kansas.

Then, for the rest of the week through the weekend, the upper-level
ridge will build over the region, becoming especially dominant for
Friday-Sunday. This feature will lead to drier weather and warming
temperatures across the forecast area. Highs on Thursday will reach
into the upper 70s to around 80 degrees with highs for Fri-Sun
warming into the middle 80s for most locations. Near zero precip
chances are expected through Sunday, with an isolated shower
possible on Thursday morning being the only exception. Another
frontal boundary looks possible for Sunday night into Monday leading
to cooler temperatures and additional rain chances to start next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all sites through the end
of the period. Light winds will gradually become southeast
throughout the period with sustained speeds mostly around 6-12 kts
by late morning and early afternoon. We continue to see a low
potential (20%) for patchy fog especially in central and southeast
Kansas prior to sunrise. With confidence being too low for a mention
at any site at this time, will AMD as needed per satellite and obs
trends.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...JWK