029
FXUS63 KICT 300728
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
228 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers with embedded storms will increase in coverage mainly
  for this afternoon and evening.

- Another round of showers and storms will affect the region for
  late Sunday night through Tuesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Patchy dense fog is possible early this morning over central Kansas.
Current satellite water vapor imagery shows an upper level wave over
the southwestern states moving northeast with associated
showers/storms ahead of this wave over Texas. This activity will
gradually spread northward into Oklahoma and Kansas today with rain
chances increasing for Kansas during the afternoon hours. Strong or
severe storms are not expected with this activity due to weak levels
of wind shear/instability. Scattered rain showers with a few
embedded storms will continue for the evening hours with some
lingering rain showers into Saturday as the upper level wave lifts
northeast of Kansas by Saturday afternoon. A lull in the
precipitation activity looks to follow for Saturday night through
Sunday.

Models in decent agreement with next upper level wave ejecting from
the Rockies into Kansas late Sunday night into Monday. More
widespread showers and storms look to spread across the region this
period. Wind shear looks to increase but the amount of instability
is more uncertain which leads to lower confidence on potential for
strong to severe storms on Monday. The upper level wave will
move slowly east of Kansas by Tuesday night with showers/storms
tapering off west to east Tuesday night into Wednesday. Daytime
highs will be near seasonal values for early November next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 629 PM CDT Thu Oct 29 2026

A stationary boundary is currently draped across the forecast
area leading to light and variable winds for central Kansas
sites. South of the boundary, light southerly winds prevail.
Winds will turn southerly around 10 knots for all sites around
midday.

Low clouds and reduced vis from patchy fog is expected to
overspread central Kansas sites over the next few hours, with
MVFR cigs expected for south-central Kansas around 12Z. MVFR
ceilings are then expected for all TAF sites, except CNU,
through the end of the period.

Showers will move from south to north between 16-20Z. Some of
the newer model guidance is trending these showers a little
later, but included the earliest reasonable arrival time in the
TAF. Brief slight reductions in vis is expected with the
heaviest showers.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...AMD