957
FXUS63 KICT 301739
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1239 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers with embedded storms will increase in coverage mainly
  for this afternoon and evening.

- Another round of showers and storms will affect the region for
  late Sunday night through Tuesday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Patchy dense fog is possible early this morning over central Kansas.
Current satellite water vapor imagery shows an upper level wave over
the southwestern states moving northeast with associated
showers/storms ahead of this wave over Texas. This activity will
gradually spread northward into Oklahoma and Kansas today with rain
chances increasing for Kansas during the afternoon hours. Strong or
severe storms are not expected with this activity due to weak levels
of wind shear/instability. Scattered rain showers with a few
embedded storms will continue for the evening hours with some
lingering rain showers into Saturday as the upper level wave lifts
northeast of Kansas by Saturday afternoon. A lull in the
precipitation activity looks to follow for Saturday night through
Sunday.

Models in decent agreement with next upper level wave ejecting from
the Rockies into Kansas late Sunday night into Monday. More
widespread showers and storms look to spread across the region this
period. Wind shear looks to increase but the amount of instability
is more uncertain which leads to lower confidence on potential for
strong to severe storms on Monday. The upper level wave will
move slowly east of Kansas by Tuesday night with showers/storms
tapering off west to east Tuesday night into Wednesday. Daytime
highs will be near seasonal values for early November next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

Mostly IFR to MVFR conditions over the next 24 hours due to rain and
low clouds. At 1730Z Friday, rain was just pushing across the OK/KS
state line. Several hours of steady light rain is expected, followed
by more intermittent showers. Rain will end generally from southeast
northwest overnight into Saturday morning, however, low cigs are
expected to develop quickly after the rain ends for most of central
KS. KCNU may see some isolated showers, but should generally miss
the bulk of the rain and low cloud impacts, and thus remain mostly
VFR. An embedded thunderstorm or two are possible with this activity
through the afternoon, but confidence is not high enough to include
any TS mentions in the TAFs.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...CFH