635
FXUS63 KICT 041136
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
636 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tranquil and mild conditions over the upcoming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 317 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Currently, a short wave trough is situated over the Upper Midwest
and is moving eastward over the Great Lakes region. At the surface,
the corresponding low pressure sits over western Quebec with a
frontal boundary draped from Minnesota into northern Kansas. Broad
ridging extends over the western U.S. and into the Southern Plains
placing the forecast area under northwesterly flow. As we progress
through the morning hours, the frontal boundary will sweep across
the state turning winds out of the north, and eventually the
northeast.

This cold front won`t bring much in terms of cooler temperatures,
but rather a reinforcing shot of dry air. High temperatures today
will reach into the middle 70s for central Kansas with highs close
to 80s degrees near the KS/OK border. For Monday, highs in the
middle 70s are expected areawide. The drier air is prominent on
water vapor imagery and anomalously low PWATs expected through
Monday. Mostly clear skies and zero precip chances will continue
through Monday night.

Ridging will begin to start building into the region on Tuesday,
with the ridge center remaining over the Desert Southwest and the
Southern Plains. A weak perturbation in the pattern on Tuesday night
associated with a trough digging into the Great Lakes may slow the
warming trend. But increasing heights will lead to afternoon
temperatures reaching into the middle 80s by the end of the week. A
few clouds associated with passing waves are expected for Tuesday
into Wednesday, as well as on Saturday. Otherwise, dry conditions
will persist through the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 633 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period. Light
northerly to northeasterly winds will turn easterly then
southeasterly for central Kansas locations after 00Z as a weak
surface trough moves across the region. Winds across south-
central and southeast Kansas will remain northeasterly, turning
southeasterly just beyond the forecast time frame.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...AMD