Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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922 FXUS63 KICT 021942 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 242 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Tranquil and mild conditions over the upcoming week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 241 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026 A ridge of high pressure at the surface nosing into eastern Kansas will bring a stable post-frontal regime to the area tonight and Saturday. As this ridge translates eastward return flow will gradually develop allowing southerly winds to return to the region from west to east as we move through the day on Saturday. Another shortwave trough racing eastward along the Canadian border will drive a cold front south late Sat shifting winds to the north/northeast on Sunday. This will allow another ridge of high pressure to build in Sunday night, allowing for strong radiational cooling. This will result in below average minimum temperatures on Sunday morning with low-lying areas falling into the mid 40s in some locations. Tranquil weather will persist as we head into next week. Northwest mid/upper flow will prevail early in the week leading to dry and breezy conditions with above average temperatures anticipated. Afternoon highs are expected to rise into the low to mid 80s by mid week and persist through the end of the week. Another progressive shortwave trough racing eastward along the Canadian border will drive a subtle frontal boundary southward across the northern Plains late Tue with little or no impact to sensible weather across the Central Plains. This feature may be followed by another late Thursday into Friday but we continue to see some uncertainty in how far south the cold front plunges leading to a continuation of mild and tranquil weather across the central Plains. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026 Breezy northeast winds will gradually diminish becoming light and variable early this evening. VFR is expected to prevail through the upcoming 24-hr period with light winds anticipated as we move into the day on Saturday. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...MWM AVIATION...MWM