707
FXUS63 KICT 030756
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
156 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances will continue for this morning and afternoon across
central and eastern Kansas

- Another weather system will bring a second round of rain to
  the region on Thursday, dry weather expected for Friday
  through the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Lingering wrap around rain showers are expected to continue with-in
the deformation zone over central and eastern Kansas today. The rain
will begin to taper off by later this afternoon as the upper wave
moves northeast into Iowa. Dry weather is slated for Wednesday with
near normal daytime highs. Meanwhile current satellite water vapor
imagery shows a healthy upper level PV wave approaching northern
California in the eastern Pacific. Deterministic and ensemble models
are showing a intensifying trend with this system and a deeper warm
advection signal. Instability looks to be limited therefore
expecting mainly rain showers. The rain will begin over western
Kansas Wednesday night and spread eastward affecting mainly south
central/southeast Kansas during the day on Thursday.

A dry weather pattern will be in store for the region on Friday
through the weekend as upper level ridging builds over Kansas on
Friday. Models do show a upper trough quickly pivoting across the
region for Saturday, but limited moisture and weakening trend of
this upper trough favors dry weather conditions. Daytime highs will
continue to be around seasonal averages for early November.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1122 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue to impact
southeast KS and CNU through 08-09Z. Visibility may drop less
than 2 miles within the most intense showers. Additional showers
are developing across central and western KS and will pivot
across GBD/RSL/SLN overnight into the morning hours of Tuesday.
Otherwise, MVFR to IFR CIGS will continue at most sites through
Tuesday afternoon and evening before VFR conditions will return
from west to east late in the period. A cold front will progress
across the area tonight into Tuesday, shifting winds from the
northwest at 15-25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. These winds will
persist through the afternoon and into the evening hours
Tuesday.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...BRB