839
FXUS63 KICT 131834
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
134 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Extreme heat likely lingering for much of southern and eastern KS
  on Friday and possibly into Saturday.

- Widely scattered showers and storms are possible late this
  afternoon and evening for central and parts of south central
  Kansas.

- Scattered showers and storms may return on Saturday evening
  for central KS and parts of south central Kansas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 124 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

The mid/upper ridge continues to influence the weather across
eastern Kansas while a sfc trough is bisecting central Kansas. A
warm front extended ENE from the sfc trough across northeast KS/SE
NE. South of this front, hot conditions within a deeply mixed pbl
are progged to persist into Fri-Sat although the front may settle a
bit further south leading to low confidence in the temperature
forecast as we move into Friday. Subtle convergence within the
sfc trough axis could allow for or isolated or widely scattered
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening with the highest
probabilities across our central KS counties. Any storm that
develops may be capable of producing strong/damaging winds given
the deeply mixed pbl/inverted-v profiles. Some storm activity
could fester overnight along the I-70 corridor in central KS as
the LLJ develops tonight but most locations across southern and
southeast KS are expected to remain dry.

Another round of storms is expected on Friday evening and Friday
night along and north of the effective front/trough axis which may
be forced south of the anticipated location in central KS. Areas
south of the effective front will see highs in the 100-105 degree
range with more seasonable temperatures in it`s wake. This frontal
zone may shift northward on Saturday with another hot day
anticipated for much of the area. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain possible, especially during the evening and overnight
hours along and north of this boundary.

By late Saturday night into Sunday, the frontal zone is expected
shift southward once again ushering in more seasonable air for
Sunday-Monday with continued chances for showers and thunderstorms.

The mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify over the Southern Rockies
early in the week before translating eastward into the
Southern/Central Plains by midweek. Hot and dry weather may return
although some low pops were maintained through the period as we see
a couple of decent shortwave troughs racing eastward across the
Northern Plains which may shift the frontal zone further south than
progged.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Gusty southwest winds will prevail across much of south central
and southeast KS with some gusts over 30 mph anticipated this
afternoon. Meanwhile, in central Kansas speeds will remain
lighter as the sfc trough slowly builds into the area. Widely
scattered late afternoon and evening storms are expected to be
most numerous in our central KS counties possibly impacting
KRSL, KGBD and KSLN terminals in the 00Z-07Z timeframe. Some of
this activity could fester into the overnight hours where gusty
and erratic winds are expected under any storm that develops.
Maintained a PROB30 for each of the terminals listed above.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 124 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

-------------------
Friday August 14
-------------------

Location        Forecast High       Record High
------------------------------------------------
Wichita             104                110-1936
Salina              100                110-1936
Chanute             102                110-1936
Russell              96                106-1952

-------------------
Saturday August 15
-------------------

Location        Forecast High       Record High
------------------------------------------------
Wichita             104                107-1956
Salina               99                112-1936
Chanute             101                110-1936
Russell              98                109-1983

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT Friday for KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
CLIMATE...MWM