Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
241
FXUS63 KICT 070010
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
610 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2025

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Wind chills may fall to around 10 to 15 below briefly across
  parts of central Kansas on Tuesday morning and again on
  Wednesday morning.

- Low probabilities (20-40/%) for light snow will return
  Thursday night into Friday, highest over southeast Kansas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 117 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2025

High pressure at the surface is progged to linger over the area
through Tuesday allowing light winds to persist while also allowing
for maximum radiational cooling over the recent snowpack. So another
couple of nights with lows at or below zero over parts of central KS
are anticipated while below normal temperatures prevail across the
region.

A shortwave trough passing over the Rockies on Tuesday may spread
some low clouds into parts of central KS on Tuesday afternoon but
any light precipitation is expected to remain west of the region.

Low level southerly flow is progged to return to the Central Plains
on Wednesday allowing temperatures to slowly moderate. Those with
the greatest snowpack may still struggle to climb out of the teens
while parts of southern KS see highs in the mid and upper 20s.

Thursday-Friday...A mid/upper trough over northern Mexico is progged
to lift northeast across the Southern Plains late on Thursday
bringing a chance of snow to the area Thursday night into early
Friday. Thermal profiles for this system appear to support all snow
and pops were increased across much of the area, highest over
southeast Kansas.

Sat-Mon...Below normal temperatures are expected to persist through
the period as the central CONUS remains within the larger-scale
mean troughing. Probabilities for precipitation are expected to
remain low through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 608 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2025

VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours. A weak storm
system will spread light snow across western Kansas Tuesday, but
this activity will remain well west of central and eastern
Kansas.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...ADK