052
FXUS63 KICT 040803
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
203 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold below normal temperatures for today gives way to warmer
readings for Friday and Saturday

- A dry weather pattern looks to persist across central and southern
Kansas for several days with no significant storm systems on the
horizon

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 202 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Latest surface analysis shows drying of the low levels(falling
dewpoints) over the eastern half of Kansas with some low level
upslope flow across western Kansas. Looks like the dry air along
with some weak isentropic down-glide will prohibit low-level
saturation during the day today. Cold below normal temperatures
today with polar airmass in place will give way to a nice warming
trend for Friday and Saturday as downslope effects help boost
daytime temperatures.

Models continue to show a upper level wave diving southeast across
the Rockies and ejecting out into Oklahoma/northern Texas on Sunday.
The precipitation signal from this system by the models continues to
target locations northeast of Kansas for Saturday into Sunday
morning. Of note, deterministic models show low level moisture being
maintained across Oklahoma and then advect this moisture northward
into Kansas on Saturday/Saturday night. If low level saturation can
be realized and extended deep enough like some model soundings are
indicating this sounding profile could lead to a period of possible
drizzle over southeast Kansas. Otherwise still expecting another
bout of colder/drier air to surge southward across Kansas on Sunday.
This cool down will be short-lived as warmer air quickly returns
giving way to a nice warming trend for next week with daytime highs
above normal for Tuesday/Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1052 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

We`re starting to see MVFR ceilings lift in places, this trend
will continue over the few hours with most all locations seeing
VFR conditions by 08Z. A few flurries are possible across
central and south-central Kansas tonight and into tomorrow
morning with no impacts expected.

Breezy northeasterly winds overnight will diminish some through
the early morning hours. A boundary will move across the area
generally between 14-18Z turning northeasterly winds out of the
south. Southerly winds are then expected through the end of the
period.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...AMD