861
FXUS63 KICT 100502
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1102 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably mild temperatures return on Wednesday with another
  unseasonably mild day expected on Thursday.

- Another shot of cold air will arrive on Friday, with a
  reinforcing surge of cold air over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1201 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

A shortwave trough moving over the Upper Mississippi Valley area
this evening will help drive a cold front south over the Central
Plains tonight. This front will usher more seasonable air on
Wednesday although values are still expected to be above
average for mid December with highs topping out in the lower 50s
for most areas. As high pressure at the surface builds south
and east over the Southern Plains and Lower/Middle Mississippi
Valley area on Thursday, southwest low level flow will return to
the Central Plains. This will allow above average temperatures
to return over the area with highs climbing into the 60s once
again.

A progressive northwest mid/upper flow regime is progged to persist
with another fropa anticipated on Friday. This front will pack a
bigger punch with seasonably cool temperatures on Fri-Sat (40s)
although as the cold air continues to settle over the area this
weekend, values may struggle to rise above freezing in some
areas as we move into Sunday. Dry weather conditions are
expected to prevail through the weekend and into early next week
although temperatures are expected to moderate as we move into
Mon-Tue with above average values returning to the area.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1039 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

VFR conditions expected through the forecast period with only
scattered mid-level clouds expected across the area.

Gusty winds and low-level wind shear will continue to be the
primary concern through 12Z as a cold frontal boundary passes
from northwest to southeast across the region. Winds and wind
shear have already increased for central Kansas sites; south-
central and southeast Kansas sites will see wind impacts
increasing over the next couple hours. Sustained northwesterly
wind speeds in the 14-18 kt range are forecast through
early/mid morning with gusts up to 30 kts at times.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...AMD