River Forecast
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FGUS54 KTUA 172000
RVFICT

RIVER FORECAST
NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK
300 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025

THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER
FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.

: FORECAST GROUP IS Lower Neosho
:
: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.
:
:*******************************************************************
:LE ROY, KS - NEOSHO RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 961.63 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     18.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   23.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      38.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS ** ESTIMATED **
:AT 17.1 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON JUN 17
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10AM CDT ON 06/18/2025
.AR :CREST: LRYK1 0618 C DC202506171500/DH13/HGIFFXZ 25.1
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 06/18/2025
.ER LRYK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  17.1 /  17.9
.E2    : 0618 : /  22.3 /  25.1 /  23.5 /  20.3
.E3    : 0619 : /  18.5 /  17.7 /  17.5 /  17.4
.E4    : 0620 : /  17.3 /  17.2 /  17.2 /  17.2
.E5    : 0621 : /  17.1 /  17.1 /  17.1 /  17.1
.E6    : 0622 : /  17.1 /  17.1
.ER LRYK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  0.05 /  1.28
.E2    : 0618 : /  0.80 /  0.00
.AR LRYK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/2.13
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:IOLA, KS - NEOSHO RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 928.91 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     13.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      15.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   21.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      27.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 11.2 FT AT 130 PM CDT ON JUN 17
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10AM CDT ON 06/18/2025
.AR :CREST: IOLK1 0619 C DC202506171500/DH01/HGIFFXZ 17.6
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 06/19/2025
.ER IOLK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  11.2 /  11.9
.E2    : 0618 : /  14.0 /  16.1 /  17.1 /  17.6
.E3    : 0619 : /  17.5 /  16.9 /  15.9 /  14.7
.E4    : 0620 : /  13.7 /  13.0 /  12.5 /  12.1
.E5    : 0621 : /  11.8 /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5
.E6    : 0622 : /  11.4 /  11.4
.ER IOLK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  0.05 /  1.14
.E2    : 0618 : /  0.59 /  0.01
.AR IOLK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.79
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:Rise based solely on QPF.
:*******************************************************************
:CHANUTE, KS - NEOSHO RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 887.94 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     21.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      23.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   28.5 FT       MAJOR STAGE      35.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 17.1 FT AT 130 PM CDT ON JUN 17
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10AM CDT ON 06/18/2025
.AR :CREST: CNUK1 0619 C DC202506171500/DH07/HGIFFXZ 27.0
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4PM CDT ON 06/20/2025
.ER CNUK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  17.4 /  18.1
.E2    : 0618 : /  20.8 /  23.3 /  25.5 /  26.8
.E3    : 0619 : /  27.0 /  26.9 /  26.4 /  25.6
.E4    : 0620 : /  24.4 /  23.3 /  21.9 /  20.8
.E5    : 0621 : /  19.9 /  19.2 /  18.6 /  18.3
.E6    : 0622 : /  18.0 /  17.8
.ER CNUK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  0.01 /  1.16
.E2    : 0618 : /  0.53 /  0.01
.AR CNUK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.71
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:ERIE, KS - NEOSHO RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 851.02 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     27.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      29.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   32.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      36.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 20.3 FT AT 715 AM CDT ON JUN 17
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 06/18/2025
.AR :CREST: EREK1 0619 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFFXZ 33.0
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 06/20/2025
.ER EREK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  20.3 /  20.8
.E2    : 0618 : /  22.5 /  25.1 /  27.7 /  30.2
.E3    : 0619 : /  31.8 /  32.7 /  33.0 /  32.8
.E4    : 0620 : /  32.2 /  31.2 /  29.7 /  28.1
.E5    : 0621 : /  26.6 /  25.3 /  24.1 /  23.2
.E6    : 0622 : /  22.5 /  22.0
.ER EREK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  0.02 /  0.88
.E2    : 0618 : /  0.67 /  0.01
.AR EREK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.58
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:PARSONS, KS - NEOSHO RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 810.25 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     19.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      21.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   23.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      32.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 15.9 FT AT 130 PM CDT ON JUN 17
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 06/18/2025
.AR :CREST: PPFK1 0620 C DC202506171500/DH07/HGIFFXZ 24.9
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 06/21/2025
.ER PPFK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  15.7 /  15.8
.E2    : 0618 : /  16.6 /  18.0 /  19.9 /  21.8
.E3    : 0619 : /  23.2 /  24.1 /  24.6 /  24.9
.E4    : 0620 : /  24.9 /  24.9 /  24.6 /  24.2
.E5    : 0621 : /  23.5 /  22.6 /  21.5 /  20.3
.E6    : 0622 : /  19.1 /  18.1
.ER PPFK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  0.04 /  0.58
.E2    : 0618 : /  0.82 /  0.05
.AR PPFK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.49
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:Rise based solely on QPF.
:*******************************************************************
:OSWEGO, KS - NEOSHO RIVER
:ZERO DATUM 790.86 FT (NGVD29)
:ACTION STAGE     15.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      17.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE   20.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      25.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 14.0 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON JUN 16
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 06/19/2025
.AR :CREST: OSWK1 0620 C DC202506171500/DH13/HGIFFXZ 21.8
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10AM CDT ON 06/22/2025
.ER OSWK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  11.3 /  11.2
.E2    : 0618 : /  11.8 /  12.9 /  13.9 /  15.7
.E3    : 0619 : /  17.9 /  19.9 /  20.8 /  21.5
.E4    : 0620 : /  21.7 /  21.8 /  21.8 /  21.7
.E5    : 0621 : /  21.5 /  21.0 /  20.2 /  18.9
.E6    : 0622 : /  17.2 /  15.5
.ER OSWK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM
.E1    : 0617 :                 /  0.02 /  0.52
.E2    : 0618 : /  0.88 /  0.11
.AR OSWK1 0617 C DC202506171500/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.53
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR TUA 0617 C DT202506172000/YIIRZ  25 : mdr
:
$$
:
:River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies
:available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel/index.html
:
:...END of MESSAGE...