448
FXUS62 KILM 011839
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
139 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
All sections have been updated but overall there are no major
changes to the forecast message.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain
chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain
chances.

High pressure will slowly move offshore bringing a warming trend
with temperatures quite a bit above normal much of the week. Seems
to be decent agreement on a more amplified weather pattern later in
the week, with a few upper disturbances likely bringing increasing
moisture and rain chances. However, details regarding timing and
amounts of rainfall are more uncertain. At this time ensemble
guidance suggests total rainfall through the weekend is most likely
to be ~0.5" or less for most locales.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
18Z Sun thru 18Z Mon: High confidence in VFR conditions with very
low chances for MVFR cigs starting tonight, especially at the
terminals near the coast (KILM/KCRE/KMYR). Gusty NE winds at times
will continue, especially at the same terminals.

18Z Mon thru Fri...Generally VFR, with a bit better risk for
restrictions due to low clouds/showers toward mid week.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Friday...High pressure centered north of the area will
slowly shift offshore ahead of a weak storm system impacting
the area mid week. Strong NE winds and elevated seas to Small
Craft Advisory levels will continue into tonight, with a low to
moderate risk of 6+ ft seas lingering into Mon, especially for
our southern SC waters.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Monday for AMZ250-252-254-
     256.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...RJB
KEY MESSAGES...RJB
DISCUSSION...RJB
AVIATION...RJB
MARINE...RJB