876
FXUS62 KILM 012344
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
644 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated aviation discussion for 00Z TAFs.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain
chances.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain
chances.

High pressure will slowly move offshore bringing a warming trend
with temperatures quite a bit above normal much of the week. Seems
to be decent agreement on a more amplified weather pattern later in
the week, with a few upper disturbances likely bringing increasing
moisture and rain chances. However, details regarding timing and
amounts of rainfall are more uncertain. At this time ensemble
guidance suggests total rainfall through the weekend is most likely
to be ~0.5" or less for most locales.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR is expected to prevail through the period, although
transient MVFR cigs carry a low chance of occurrence at KILM,
KCRE, and KMYR tonight into early Monday. Steady northeast
winds will persist with gusty winds possible at the coastal
terminals starting around midday on Monday.

18Z Mon thru Fri...Predominantly VFR. The risk for restrictions
due to low clouds/showers increases on Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Friday...High pressure centered north of the area will
slowly shift offshore ahead of a weak storm system impacting
the area mid week. Strong NE winds and elevated seas to Small
Craft Advisory levels will continue into tonight, with a low to
moderate risk of 6+ ft seas lingering into Mon, especially for
our southern SC waters.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Monday for AMZ250-252-254-
     256.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...ABW
KEY MESSAGES...RJB
DISCUSSION...RJB
AVIATION...ABW
MARINE...RJB