467
FXUS62 KILM 280650
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
250 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
All sections have been updated with no significant changes to the
previous forecast. Another Coastal Flood Advisory was issued
for all tidal areas for minor coastal flooding during high tide
later this morning into early afternoon.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
- 1) Minor coastal flooding expected along the coast and lower
  Cape Fear River at least for a few more days, especially
  during daytime high tides.

- 2) Temperatures will gradually warm up through the work week with
  rain chances returning late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Minor coastal flooding expected along the coast and
lower Cape Fear River at least for a few more days, especially
during daytime high tides.

High astronomical tides along with continued positive tidal
anomalies will lead to additional minor coastal flooding along the
coast and lower Cape Fear River through at least Wed, especially
during the daytime high tides.


KEY MESSAGE 2...Temperatures will gradually warm up through the work
week with rain chances returning late week.

General troughing over the area will get replaced by high pressure
late week leading to a warming and eventual moistening trend toward
the end of the work week. High temperatures should climb above
normal starting Tuesday and continue into Friday with 90s possible
once again inland starting Wed. Overnight lows should stay near to
below normal a few more nights due to the dry air mass and pretty
favorable radiational cooling conditions, then climb above normal
starting Wed night before falling a bit over the weekend.

Rain chances should hold off until Fri when low chances return with
a bit better chances possible over the weekend as a stalling front
approaches, although confidence remains low regarding rain
chances/timing/amounts. At least there doesn`t appear to be a
significant risk for severe storms or excessive rainfall at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
06Z Mon thru 06Z Tue: High confidence in VFR conditions with
generally light and variable winds.

06Z Tue thru Fri: Low to moderate risk for late night/early morning
fog due to increasing low-level moisture.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Friday...Low pressure well to the north just off the
DE/NJ coasts will continue to weaken and move farther away the
next few days leading to diminishing east-northeast backswell.
High pressure moving into the local area will provide for fairly
light winds as well leading to much improved marine conditions
overall. Seas should be 2 ft or less within 20 nm and only up
to 3 ft out to 60 nm with winds mainly 15 kt or less.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 AM this morning to noon EDT
     today for NCZ106-108-110.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT this
     afternoon for NCZ107.
SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 AM this morning to noon EDT
     today for SCZ054-056.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...RJB
KEY MESSAGES...RJB
DISCUSSION...RJB
AVIATION...RJB
MARINE...RJB