515
FXUS62 KILM 070948
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
548 AM EDT Mon Sep 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation discussion updated for 12Z TAFs. No other major changes
with the latest update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
-1)Drier and cooler conditions will be in place for several
 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Drier and cooler conditions will be in place for
several days.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A couple of strong shortwaves the past couple of days have
worked over the east/west heat dome/ridge and its arguable we
could be in a cyclonic flow aloft. Any convection today should
be pushed well to the south if it affects our area at all. More
noticeable will be highs in the middle to upper 80s and lows
except right along the coast in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High confidence in mainly VFR conditions for the 12Z TAF period.
Just a very low risk of brief restrictions from low clouds early
this AM and showers/storms just about anytime, especially near the
coast. Otherwise, breezy NE winds will prevail today, especially
near the coast.

Extended Outlook... Mostly VFR conditions as drier high
pressure builds in from the north.

&&

.MARINE...
A decent NE flow will develop today enough to warrant a
marginal smalll craft advisory through tonight. For the mid week
period winds will diminish and take on a more easterly flow.
Signigicant seas will be 3-5 with the headline diminishing to
2-4 feet.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ106-108-110.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 11 PM EDT this evening for NCZ107.
SC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for SCZ054-056.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 2 AM EDT
     Tuesday for AMZ250-252-254-256.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...RJB
KEY MESSAGES...SHK
DISCUSSION...SHK
AVIATION...RJB/SHK
MARINE...SHK