191
FXUS62 KILM 310012
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
812 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion and expiration of high risk of
rip currents.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A dry cold front will move south across the region tonight
bringing near normal temperatures and dry/occasionally breezy
conditions through early next week. Rain chances should
increase mid next week but forecast confidence remains low.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A dry cold front will move south across the region
tonight bringing near normal temperatures and dry/occasionally
breezy conditions through early next week. Rain chances should
increase mid next week but forecast confidence remains low.

A dry cold front will move south through the area tonight
bringing temperatures back down to near normal into early next
week. Northeast winds are expected to be breezy at times,
especially near the coast. Unfortunately, rain chances appear to
remain quite low, with the greatest chances near the coast
starting Sun night as a coastal trough develops and some upper
energy moves through. Hopefully rain chances increase mid next
week as advertised, although confidence still remains low given
that a rather amplified upper-level weather pattern is likely to
evolve which typically creates more uncertainty.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High confidence in VFR conditions as high pressure prevails. A
passing dry cold front tonight will bring increasingly gusty NE
winds, especially at the coastal terminals.

Extended Outlook...Generally VFR, although a bit better risk for
restrictions due to low clouds/showers toward mid next week.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Wednesday...Weak high pressure today will be reinforced
tonight after a cold front passes through. High pressure centered
north of the area will then likely prevail into mid next week before
forecast confidence lowers as a more complex weather pattern likely
develops, although poor marine conditions will likely persist
nonetheless. We have initiated Small Craft Advisories for all
nearshore waters outside of the northern SC waters where conditions
are more marginal and confidence is lower.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Saturday to 7 AM EDT Wednesday
     for AMZ250-252-256.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...31
KEY MESSAGES...RJB
DISCUSSION...RJB
AVIATION...31
MARINE...RJB