207
FXUS62 KILM 160042
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
842 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation discussion updated for the 00Z TAF cycle.

Low rip current risk across all 5 county beaches Thu.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

Ridging will build just north of the area with a return to
above normal temperatures through the end of the work week.
Heat Advisories appear likely by Friday as humidity starts to
recover with S/SW winds. By the weekend moisture should have
recovered enough to support typical afternoon showers/storms
with isolated to scattered coverage, but these aren`t
anticipated to help preclude the heat threat into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High confidence for VFR across all terminals during this valid
00Z taf issuance period. SE-S winds 4 kt or less this evening
will become westerly overnight thru daytime Thu. The exception
will be the coastal terminals where the sea breeze will develop
by midday and progress inland. Look for winds to become SE-S
around 10-14 kt at the coastal terminals reaching the inland
terminals late afternoon or early evening at speeds of 5 to 9
kt. Enough moisture for SCT diurnal Cu in the 6k to 7.5k foot
range.

Extended Forecast... High pressure will persist into the upcoming
weekend with predominantly VFR conditions through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Wednesday through Sunday... Light winds becoming more southerly
in the afternoon with the sea breeze and about 10 kts near
shore. S/SW flow returns Thursday with wind speeds increasing
Saturday as a trough strengthens inland. Small Craft Advisory
gusts may be possible for the weekend, and the wind wave will
become more dominant. Seas largely 2-3 ft increasing to 4-5 ft
this weekend.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ106-
     108-110.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 AM EDT Thursday for NCZ107.
SC...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for SCZ054-
     056.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...DCH
KEY MESSAGES...31
DISCUSSION...31
AVIATION...31
MARINE...31