721
FNUS52 KILM 150527
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
127 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Atlantic high pressure to prevail with mostly typical summertime
weather expected.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-151830-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
127 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           20           50
Chance Thunder (%)    50           20           50
Max/Min Temp          89           74           91
Min/Max RH (%)        67           98           62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      S  5         S  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  S  6         Lgt/Var      S  7
Precip Amount         0.10         0.02         0.05
Precip Duration       2            1            2
Precip Begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  79/0900      2000         79/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3700                      4000
Transport Wind (mph)  S 15                      S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    55500                     72000
ADI Early             38 Fair      16 Gen Poor  60 Gen Good
ADI Late              53 Gen Good  7 Poor       68 Good
Max LVORI Early       6            5            6
Max LVORI Late        3            6            1
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-151830-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
127 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           30           60
Chance Thunder (%)    50           20           50
Max/Min Temp          90           74           90
Min/Max RH (%)        63           100          60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  S  4         Lgt/Var      S  6
Precip Amount         0.05         0.02         0.09
Precip Duration       1            0            4
Precip Begin          11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
Precip End            Continuing   9 PM         6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  79/0900      2000         78/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4400                      4300
Transport Wind (mph)  S 12                      S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    52800                     77400
ADI Early             37 Fair      11 Poor      56 Gen Good
ADI Late              49 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  65 Good
Max LVORI Early       8            6            7
Max LVORI Late        3            8            1
Min VSBY Early        4 Rain       7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-151830-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
127 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           20           60
Chance Thunder (%)    20           20           50
Max/Min Temp          90           74           90
Min/Max RH (%)        66           100          63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      S  4         S  4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SE  6        Lgt/Var      S  7 G17
Precip Amount         0.02         0.01         0.18
Precip Duration       1            1            5
Precip Begin          9 AM         Continuing   7 AM
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM         6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  79/0900      2000         79/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       3800                      3600
Transport Wind (mph)  S 14                      S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    53200                     61200
ADI Early             41 Gen Good  23 Fair      63 Good
ADI Late              52 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  65 Good
Max LVORI Early       7            5            6
Max LVORI Late        3            7            2
Min VSBY Early        6 Rain       7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-151830-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
127 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           30           60
Chance Thunder (%)    40           20           60
Max/Min Temp          90           73           90
Min/Max RH (%)        60           100          60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var      SE  4        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph)  SE  4        Lgt/Var      S  6
Precip Amount         0.05         0.03         0.13
Precip Duration       1            0            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip End            Continuing   9 PM         6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  79/0900      2000         77/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4500                      4000
Transport Wind (mph)  SE 10                     S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    45000                     64000
ADI Early             37 Fair      10 Poor      64 Good
ADI Late              48 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  62 Good
Max LVORI Early       8            5            8
Max LVORI Late        2            9            1
Min VSBY Early        3 Rain       7            5 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...RGZ