Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
058
FNUS52 KILM 300624
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
224 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain generally dry weather and warming
temperatures into early Saturday. Moisture levels will be on the
rise over the weekend ahead of a cold front which will lead to
moderate to potentially high rain chances through Monday until
the front moves through.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-301930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
224 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 89 60 88
Min/Max RH (%) 34 100 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 77/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7000 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SE 6 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 42000
ADI Early 21 Fair 5 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 38 Fair 3 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-301930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
224 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 89 61 89
Min/Max RH (%) 31 100 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 3 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20100 46200
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-301930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
224 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 62 88
Min/Max RH (%) 32 100 45
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 6 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40800 39200
ADI Early 21 Fair 4 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-301930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
224 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 61 89
Min/Max RH (%) 30 100 37
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1100 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 6800
Transport Wind (mph) SE 3 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20100 47600
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 36 Fair 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$