Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
282
FNUS52 KILM 100618
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
218 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will develop today off the Florida East Coast along a
stalled cold front. As the low moves north this weekend gusty
winds and rain are expected along with cool temperatures. Dry
weather and near normal temperatures are expected for most of
next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-101930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
218 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 70 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 73 60 72
Min/Max RH (%) 62 100 87
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 12 G25 NE 9 G24 NE 9 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 11 G25 NE 8 G20 NE 10 G22
Precip Amount 0.04 0.39 1.18
Precip Duration 1 3 11
Precip Begin 7 AM 10 PM Continuing
Precip End 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 63/0900 1900 64/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 2000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95000 44000
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 65 Good 16 Gen Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-101930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
218 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 59 70
Min/Max RH (%) 54 99 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 10 G22 NE 7 G19 NE 8 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G22 NE 7 G18 NE 9 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.46
Precip Duration 1 6
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/0600 1900 62/0900
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 1800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 22 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88000 39600
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
74 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-101930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
218 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 60 70
Min/Max RH (%) 67 99 86
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 12 G24 NE 10 G25 NE 9 G20
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 12 G25 NE 9 G22 N 10 G22
Precip Amount 0.11 0.23 0.53
Precip Duration 2 3 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 60/0600 1900 62/0600
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 2000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 26 N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 46000
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 62 Good 16 Gen Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 4
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 3 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...The best chance of showers today will exist south of
Myrtle Beach.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
76 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-101930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
218 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 59 69
Min/Max RH (%) 56 96 76
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 10 G20 NE 8 G18 NE 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 10 G20 NE 8 G17 N 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.01 0.05 0.22
Precip Duration 1 1 3
Precip Begin 10 AM 3 AM Continuing
Precip End 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/0800 1900 61/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 1900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 23 NE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85100 41800
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA