Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
781
FNUS52 KILM 171901
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid summertime weather will continue with temperatures
above normal for most of the week. Frontal passage will lead to a
slight uptick in rain chances late Thursday into Friday. Strong
ridge of high pressure over the eastern U.S. will lead to a warming
trend Sunday into next week, with a potential for increased heat
risk Monday and Tuesday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-181115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 20
Min/Max Temp 74 94 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 91 54 91 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 7 G17 SW 8 G19 SW 8 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 G17 SW 9 G19 SW 8 G18 SW 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 0
Precip Begin 1 PM 2 PM
Precip End 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/0800 2000 76/0600
Dispersion Fair Good
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102000 113400
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 86 Good 14 Gen Poor 104 Very Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 96 Good 14 Gen Poor 100 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 4
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-181115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 40
Min/Max Temp 74 94 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 92 49 90 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 7 S 7 SW 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G18 SW 6 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 76/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 6100
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 121800 140300
ADI Early 12 Poor 84 Good 13 Gen Poor 98 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 111 Very Good12 Poor 128 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 30
Min/Max Temp 74 93 75 93
Max/Min RH (%) 91 53 91 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 6 S 8 G18 SW 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 8 G18 SW 7 G17 SW 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 76/0600
Dispersion Fair Good
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91200 109800
ADI Early 10 Poor 74 Good 19 Gen Poor 91 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 86 Good 12 Poor 111 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
301 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 40
Min/Max Temp 74 94 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 91 47 91 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 S 7 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G17 SW 6 SW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 76/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 6400
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 SW 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 120000 140800
ADI Early 12 Poor 87 Good 12 Poor 108 Very Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 103 Very Good12 Poor 126 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ