Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
733
FNUS52 KILM 201837
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
237 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026
.DISCUSSION...
After a dry Monday, a cold front will move through late Tuesday,
with elevated rain chances Tuesday through Thursday but no
significant drought relief anticipated.
Fog potential for tonight is Low near the coast, and Moderate
inland.
NCZ105>110-210745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
237 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 68 91 68 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 81/1000 1900 77/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3900
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 27300
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 39 Fair 3 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-210745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
237 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 68 92 69 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 46 100 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 80/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 4900
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 34300
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 9 9 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-210745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
237 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20 50
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 20
Min/Max Temp 68 91 69 87
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05
Precip Duration 0 2
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 80/1000 2000 79/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4500
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38400 31500
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 39 Fair 2 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-210745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
237 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 68 91 69 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 46 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 NE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 39200
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS