Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
076
FNUS52 KILM 160554
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
154 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Atlantic high pressure to prevail with mostly typical summertime
weather expected.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-161900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
154 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 50 20 20
Max/Min Temp 90 75 93
Min/Max RH (%) 63 98 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 SW 4 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 2000 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4700
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64600 94000
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 25 Fair 79 Good
ADI Late 62 Good 10 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
154 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 20
Max/Min Temp 90 75 93
Min/Max RH (%) 63 99 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 0
Precip Begin 8 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 86400
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 75 Good
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 7 Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
154 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 20
Max/Min Temp 90 74 93
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 S 4 S 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.11 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4900
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59200 73500
ADI Early 64 Good 16 Gen Poor 70 Good
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 7 Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
154 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 20 30
Max/Min Temp 91 73 93
Min/Max RH (%) 60 100 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 8 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5300
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 84800
ADI Early 65 Good 18 Gen Poor 73 Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 7 Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
30 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW