Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
541
FNUS52 KILM 161728
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1228 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Warm, dry, and breezy conditions are expected this afternoon
ahead of a dry cold front that will move through the region this
evening. High pressure will return Monday and Tuesday. Dry weather
is forecast through Friday.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-170630-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1228 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 41 63 36 67
Max/Min RH (%) 53 22 64 29
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 5 NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 NW 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 51/0900 1700 51/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3200
Transport Wind (mph) N 17 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54400 25600
ADI Early 10 Poor 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 62 Good 3 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170630-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1228 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 41 63 35 68
Max/Min RH (%) 52 20 66 27
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 5 NW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 4 NW 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 49/0900 1700 49/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3200
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 38400
ADI Early 8 Poor 54 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-170630-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1228 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 40 64 37 69
Max/Min RH (%) 59 24 66 34
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 52/0900 1700 53/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3600
Transport Wind (mph) N 13 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41600 43200
ADI Early 8 Poor 44 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170630-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1228 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 39 64 36 70
Max/Min RH (%) 61 22 71 30
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 50/0900 1700 49/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 12 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37200 44400
ADI Early 9 Poor 40 Fair 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$