Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
423
FNUS52 KILM 211811
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
111 PM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through the area on Saturday night,
followed by dry high pressure. High pressure will move into the
area Sunday and remain into early next week. A frontal system will
affect the area the middle of next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-220715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
111 PM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 79 51 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 61 100 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 W 6 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 64/0800 1700 55/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3400
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 40800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 7 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 10 Poor 67 Good 7 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 9 4 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F D F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-220715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
111 PM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 30 0 0
Min/Max Temp 60 79 50 69
Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 100 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1 1
Precip Begin 4 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 63/0800 1700 54/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 3700
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 44400
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 67 Good 7 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 8 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of
showers 40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-220715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
111 PM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 79 54 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 100 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 7 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 63/0800 1700 58/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3500
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 42000
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 62 Good 7 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 71 Good 6 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 8 4 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
73 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
RH 43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
39 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
111 PM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 58 79 52 70
Max/Min RH (%) 100 58 100 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 7 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.01 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 63/0800 1700 56/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3800
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71400 45600
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 64 Good 7 Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 71 Good 8 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9 8
Max LVORI Late 8 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of
showers 30 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$