Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
808
FNUS52 KILM 011832
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
232 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain generally dry weather and warming
temperatures into Saturday morning. Moisture levels will be on
the rise over the weekend ahead of a cold front which will lead to
moderate to high rain chances Saturday afternoon through Monday.
Cooler and drier conditions are expected starting Monday night.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-020745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
232 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 66 91 68 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 47 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45900 37600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 86 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-020745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
232 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 66 91 69 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 42 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/1000 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 4900
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47700 39200
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 90 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-020745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
232 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 66 91 70 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/1000 1900 77/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 4200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35700 33600
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 40 Fair 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 90 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-020745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
232 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Mcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 50
Min/Max Temp 65 91 69 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24
Precip Duration 5
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41600 38400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$