Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
806
FNUS52 KILM 281316
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
916 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions are expected today with light winds this
morning, increasing this afternoon. Wind gusts late this
afternoon could gust up to 20-25 mph (stronger winds expected at
the coast). Storms are possible late this afternoon into this
evening as an established line of storms approaches from the NW.
Quieter conditions follow a cold front on Wednesday. Mostly dry
weather continues late this week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-290230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
916 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 60 0
Max/Min Temp 94 74 93
Min/Max RH (%) 51 97 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 8 G21 NW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 7 G20 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.30 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 7 PM
Precip End 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 76/0600
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 6900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79500 103500
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 23 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 67 Good 14 Gen Poor 110 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-290230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
916 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 70 0
Max/Min Temp 94 73 93
Min/Max RH (%) 50 99 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 G18 W 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.32 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/1000 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 6600
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84800 105600
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 91 Good 9 Poor 117 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present Through Tonight.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-290230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
916 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 50 0
Max/Min Temp 97 75 94
Min/Max RH (%) 48 96 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G19 NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 G19 SW 6 G18 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 PM
Precip End 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94500 100500
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 88 Good 14 Gen Poor 109 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-290230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
916 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 60 0
Max/Min Temp 97 72 92
Min/Max RH (%) 46 98 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 W 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/1000 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85500 113600
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 12 Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 99 Good 10 Poor 120 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 84 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$