Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
468
FNUS52 KILM 161736
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
136 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will bring southwesterly winds and hot
weather across the Carolinas Thursday through the weekend. A weak
front may approach from the north early next week with increased
chances for showers and thunderstorms along with slightly cooler
temps.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-170645-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
136 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 75 94 75 96
Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 93 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 6 SW 7 G18 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 9 G18 SW 5 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 78/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98000 88500
ADI Early 22 Fair 83 Good 14 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 87 Good 10 Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170645-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
136 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 74 94 75 96
Max/Min RH (%) 99 55 94 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 5 S 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 78/0700
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5900
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83300 94400
ADI Early 12 Poor 74 Good 9 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 98 Good 8 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-170645-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
136 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 30
Min/Max Temp 74 93 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 99 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 6 G18 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G17 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 8 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 78/0700
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 6400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84800 89600
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 66 Good 11 Poor 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 80 Good 8 Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 8 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170645-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
136 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Showers None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 30
Min/Max Temp 73 94 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 99 52 98 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Poor Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 7100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84800 106500
ADI Early 11 Poor 64 Good 8 Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 95 Good 8 Poor 98 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA