Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
478
FNUS52 KILM 191920
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
320 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Seasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will continue through
mid week as high pressure sits well offshore. Warmer and moister
conditions are then expected late in the week through early next
week with a better chance for some showers and storms.
Fog potential for tonight is Very Low away from the coast.
NCZ105>110-201130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
320 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 65 87 64 90
Max/Min RH (%) 89 46 96 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 G18 NE 6 G17 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 E 9 G18 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95200 57000
ADI Early 87 Good 90 Good 74 Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 97 Good 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 4 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
320 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 65 91 64 94
Max/Min RH (%) 95 38 100 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 NE 5 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 71/0800 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 6000
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 89600 54000
ADI Early 104 Very Good92 Good 80 Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 98 Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
320 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 65 88 65 90
Max/Min RH (%) 92 45 97 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 7 G20 NE 7 G18 E 5 G18 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 E 10 G19 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 73/0800 2100 74/0800
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 18 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104400 57600
ADI Early 99 Good 90 Good 83 Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 100 Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 5 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
320 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 3
Min/Max Temp 65 90 64 92
Max/Min RH (%) 96 37 99 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 6 NE 6 E 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 71/0800 2100 74/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 6000
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96000 54000
ADI Early 113 Very Good97 Good 89 Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 103 Very Good5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright