Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
170
FNUS52 KILM 161832
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
232 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather continues through Thursday night. Temperatures near
seasonal norms for mid-September will begin to gradually warm
later this week. Warm and humid conditions are expected this
weekend with increasing rain chances that will last into early
next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-170745-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
232 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 62 90 65 93
Max/Min RH (%) 95 40 95 48
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4400
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 W 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31500 35200
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 26 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-170745-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
232 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 62 91 66 95
Max/Min RH (%) 98 37 94 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 69/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5100
Transport Wind (mph) E 6 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 25200 35700
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 7 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-170745-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
232 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 63 90 66 93
Max/Min RH (%) 96 42 95 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 70/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 W 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32900 28800
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 36 Fair 3 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-170745-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
232 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 62 91 66 94
Max/Min RH (%) 98 36 94 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 69/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 6 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27600 31800
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 8 3 5
Max LVORI Late 8 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$