Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
288
FNUS52 KILM 270532
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1232 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Arctic air starts to gradually sink into the area tonight.
Temperatures well below normal and much drier air arrive today
and linger through Saturday. A slow warming trend begins Sunday as
high pressure moves off the coast. Next chance of rain will be end
of the weekend into early next week with the next cold front.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-271845-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1232 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 56 29 49
Min/Max RH (%) 25 61 24
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 6 Lgt/Var NW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 NW 4 NW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0600 1700 34/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NW 16 NW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 88200
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 71 Good
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
69 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Not as cool. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 72 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in
the lower 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-271845-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1232 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 56 28 49
Min/Max RH (%) 23 62 23
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 42/0600 1700 36/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5000
Transport Wind (mph) NW 15 NW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61500 90000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 73 Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
67 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
26 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 85 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Not as
cool. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 66 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-271845-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1232 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 57 29 51
Min/Max RH (%) 25 62 22
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 46/0600 1700 38/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 15 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 78200
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Not as
cool. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum
RH 71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of rain 40 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper
50s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271845-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1232 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 56 28 50
Min/Max RH (%) 24 63 22
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 45/0900 1700 36/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4800
Transport Wind (mph) NW 14 NW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61600 81600
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 66 Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 3
Max LVORI Late 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
65 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Not as
cool. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around
40. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of rain 40 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 50s.
Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO