Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
929
FNUS52 KILM 120554
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
154 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds and rain will continue today, conditions will begin to
improve tonight. Dry weather and near normal temperatures are
expected for most of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
Type 1-B...Direction NE...Maximum Wind 55 mph at 2000 ft.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-121900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
154 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 60 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 58 72
Min/Max RH (%) 91 100 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 15 G30 N 9 G23 N 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 13 G27 NW 7 G18 NW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.49 0.41 0.05
Precip Duration 9 3 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0600 1900 61/0600
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 3800
Transport Wind (mph) N 28 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 60800
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 21 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-121900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
154 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 66 58 73
Min/Max RH (%) 92 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 14 G28 N 10 G27 N 8 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 14 G29 N 8 G20 NW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.63 0.28 0.00
Precip Duration 10 3
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0600 1900 60/0600
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 4300
Transport Wind (mph) N 29 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58000 64500
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 27 Fair 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 6 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-121900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
154 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 65 58 73
Min/Max RH (%) 93 100 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 14 G26 NW 9 G22 NW 8 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 13 G26 NW 7 G18 NW 7
Precip Amount 1.21 0.26 0.00
Precip Duration 11 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 63/0600 1900 61/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1800 4100
Transport Wind (mph) N 25 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 65600
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 22 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 46 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 5 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-121900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
154 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 100 70 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 64 57 75
Min/Max RH (%) 93 100 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 13 G26 N 10 G25 N 7 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 13 G28 N 7 G18 NW 7
Precip Amount 1.17 0.29 0.00
Precip Duration 11 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/0600 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 4800
Transport Wind (mph) N 25 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47500 72000
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 24 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 6 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21