Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
312
FNUS52 KILM 251246
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
846 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A stalled front will lead to a few rounds of moderate to heavy
rainfall through this evening. The front will drift south of the
area Sunday, with drier conditions prevailing before isolated to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms return along the sea
breeze early next week. Another approaching front could lead to
better rainfall coverage by the middle of the upcoming week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-260200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
846 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 0
Max/Min Temp 84 67 89
Min/Max RH (%) 84 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 1.10 0.29 0.00
Precip Duration 10 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 71/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 NW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32400 43200
ADI Early 25 Fair 6 Very Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-260200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
846 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 80 50 0
Chance Thunder (%) 70 50 0
Max/Min Temp 84 68 89
Min/Max RH (%) 86 100 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.63 0.17 0.00
Precip Duration 8 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 5100
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 NW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 25000 35700
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-260200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
846 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 20
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 20
Max/Min Temp 86 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 82 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.76 0.29 0.04
Precip Duration 8 4 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 4500
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 S 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37200 31500
ADI Early 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
846 AM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 60 50 20
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 20
Max/Min Temp 85 69 89
Min/Max RH (%) 79 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.46 0.11 0.03
Precip Duration 5 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 4600
Transport Wind (mph) W 10 W 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32000 32200
ADI Early 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 33 Fair 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 4 9 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...29