Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
043
FNUS52 KILM 170734
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure to the north will maintain dry weather and easterly
winds for the first half of the week. A tropical disturbance
expected to remain south of the area could spread a few showers
across the Carolinas Thursday or Friday. A warming trend is
expected for the later half of the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-172345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
334 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 63 86
Min/Max RH (%) 47 92 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 SE 5 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85500 85000
ADI Early 62 Good 62 Good 83 Good
ADI Late 79 Good 5 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-172345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 91 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 43 94 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 89600
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 66 Good 77 Good
ADI Late 82 Good 5 Very Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-172345-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 65 86
Min/Max RH (%) 51 94 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 SE 5 E 5 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5300
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79500 95400
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 63 Good 88 Good
ADI Late 78 Good 5 Very Poor 100 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-172345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
334 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 65 89
Min/Max RH (%) 47 97 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2100 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5900
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68400 94400
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 67 Good 81 Good
ADI Late 75 Good 5 Very Poor 104 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III