Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
685
FNUS52 KILM 200604
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
104 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds in from the north today, returning north as a
warm front on Friday. Another cold front will move through
Saturday night followed by dry high pressure. A low end chance of
rain will exist with this frontal system.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-201915-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
104 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 49 75
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 50/0600 1700 67/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100 3000
Transport Wind (mph) SE 6 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12600 39000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum
RH 96 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201915-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
104 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 51 75
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0600 1700 66/1100
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 2600
Transport Wind (mph) S 5 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 11000 39000
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 23 Fair
ADI Late 12 Poor 3 Very Poor 31 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum
RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 41 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201915-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
104 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 71 53 77
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 56/0800 1700 66/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300 2700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 16100 27000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 9 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201915-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
104 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 71 52 77
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 54/0900 1700 64/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 2500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 5 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12000 32500
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 42 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$