Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
286
FNUS52 KILM 041218
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
818 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances continue today and tonight as a cold front slowly
moves offshore. Cooler and drier weather arrives on Monday as
Canadian high pressure builds across the eastern U.S.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-050130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
818 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 90 80
Chance Thunder (%) 50 20 0
Max/Min Temp 81 64 76
Min/Max RH (%) 88 100 77
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Amount 0.67 0.39 0.15
Precip Duration 12 11 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1800 67/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100 2400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 21000 28800
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 7 Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 22 Fair 7 Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 8 8
Max LVORI Late 5 8 4
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability C E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-050130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
818 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 80 90 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 78 65 76
Min/Max RH (%) 86 100 71
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Amount 0.46 0.28 0.06
Precip Duration 8 8 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 12 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1100 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 2700
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 14000 32400
ADI Early 9 Poor 6 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 7 Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 8
Max LVORI Late 5 9 4
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 4 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-050130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
818 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 90 90
Chance Thunder (%) 50 0 0
Max/Min Temp 81 65 76
Min/Max RH (%) 88 100 83
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.70 0.51 0.26
Precip Duration 11 11 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 3 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/1000 1800 None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 2300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 19800 27600
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 7 Poor 24 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 8
Max LVORI Late 6 9 5
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 4 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
818 AM EDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 90 90 80
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 79 65 76
Min/Max RH (%) 86 100 73
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.39 0.36 0.12
Precip Duration 10 9 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1100 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 2800
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13300 28000
ADI Early 9 Poor 6 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 8
Max LVORI Late 5 9 4
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 4 Rain 2 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability C E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$