Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
911
FNUS52 KILM 170658
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda High pressure will build westward across the area and
dominate the weather through Thursday. Hot and humid conditions
will make isolated to scattered showers and storms possible each
day.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-172300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 91 74 94
Min/Max RH (%) 62 91 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G18 SW 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 7 G17 SW 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 12 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 2000 79/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71400 104000
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 78 Good
ADI Late 79 Good 12 Poor 98 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-172300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 74 94
Min/Max RH (%) 58 91 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 5 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 5 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 12 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83300 116600
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 10 Poor 84 Good
ADI Late 94 Good 8 Poor 125 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-172300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 20
Max/Min Temp 92 75 93
Min/Max RH (%) 56 91 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 S 7 G18 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G19 SW 6 SW 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0900 2000 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74800 84800
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 12 Poor 63 Good
ADI Late 85 Good 11 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-172300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 AM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 92 74 94
Min/Max RH (%) 55 91 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 5 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83300 111300
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 11 Poor 84 Good
ADI Late 95 Good 9 Poor 118 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$