Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
254
FNUS52 KILM 230707
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure to generally prevail through mid week, especially
near the coast. More unsettled weather should return late week
as we see at least some fringe effects from low pressure tracking
northward from the Gulf of Mexico.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-232315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 86 67 84
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 71
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3500
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 45500
ADI Early 22 Fair 16 Gen Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 28 Fair 5 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 8
Max LVORI Late 3 6 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
75 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-232315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 40
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 86 67 85
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 69
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.10
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24500 48100
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 22 Fair 35 Fair
ADI Late 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-232315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 86 70 86
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29600 48100
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 27 Fair 36 Fair
ADI Late 33 Fair 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
71 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-232315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 89 69 89
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4400
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 57200
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 30 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21