Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
818
FNUS52 KILM 291246
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
846 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure building into the area will maintain dry weather
along with warming temperatures through Saturday. Moisture levels
will be on the rise late week with low rain chances starting
Friday and probably a bit higher over the weekend as a front nears
from the north.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-300200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
846 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 86 57 88
Min/Max RH (%) 32 100 41
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 6700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47600 46900
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-300200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
846 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 59 88
Min/Max RH (%) 32 100 36
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 4
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 6600
Transport Wind (mph) W 5 SE 5
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32500 33000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 34 Fair 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-300200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Red Hill, Loris, and Aynor
846 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 86 60 87
Min/Max RH (%) 30 100 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1100 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 6 E 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41400 42000
ADI Early 11 Poor 4 Very Poor 27 Fair
ADI Late 38 Fair 3 Very Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 7 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 2 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-300200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
846 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 86 58 87
Min/Max RH (%) 29 100 37
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 6500
Transport Wind (mph) W 5 SE 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33000 39000
ADI Early 11 Poor 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 34 Fair 3 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman